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Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast

Planning area 3

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Planning area 3 is forecast to grow from 13,082 in 2021 to 14,751 in 2051, with the average household size falling from 2.30 to 2.23 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Shoalhaven City Council. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Planning area 3Forecast year
Summary2021202620312036204120462051
Population22,85624,26525,12225,76426,44926,76427,106
Change in population (5yrs)--1,409857642685315342
Average annual change--1.20%0.70%0.51%0.53%0.24%0.25%
Households9,83810,45710,90811,26011,61511,81212,014
Average household size2.302.292.282.262.252.242.23
Population in non private dwellings269269269269269269269
Dwellings13,08213,45713,78714,03114,27114,51114,751
Dwelling occupancy rate75.2077.7179.1280.2581.3981.4081.45
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Planning area 3 was estimated to be 22,856 people. It is expected to increase by over 2,908 people to 25,764 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 1.20%. This is based on an increase of over 1,422 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.30 to 2.26 by 2031.

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