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Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shoalhaven City Council

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Shoalhaven City Council is forecast to grow from 54,651 in 2016 to 72,054 in 2051, with the average household size falling from 2.32 to 2.23 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Shoalhaven City Council. The period 2016 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Shoalhaven City CouncilForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--4,7345,8554,9405,9675,2674,3984,542
Average annual change--0.91%1.07%0.86%1.00%0.84%0.67%0.67%
Average household size2.322.
Population in non private dwellings2,9142,9143,5843,6144,0724,0724,0724,072
Dwelling occupancy rate78.0578.5680.2781.2181.9682.7982.9483.08
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Shoalhaven City Council was estimated to be 101,970 people. It is expected to increase by over 15,529 people to 117,499 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 0.95%. This is based on an increase of over 8,206 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.32 to 2.24 by 2031.

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