Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Vincentia - Erowal Bay & Surrounds

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Shoalhaven City. The period 2016 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Vincentia - Erowal Bay & SurroundsForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population5,8346,3616,3846,4716,5536,674
Change in population (5yrs)--528228782121
Average annual change--1.75%0.07%0.27%0.25%0.37%
Households2,5392,8302,9182,9893,0303,069
Average household size2.242.182.112.072.062.06
Population in non private dwellings136182228274320366
Dwellings3,9344,2524,3844,4914,5514,611
Dwelling occupancy rate64.5466.5666.5666.5666.5866.56

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2018.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2041 Average household size: 2.06 2040 Average household size: 2.06 2039 Average household size: 2.06 2038 Average household size: 2.06 2037 Average household size: 2.06 2036 Average household size: 2.06 2035 Average household size: 2.06 2034 Average household size: 2.06 2033 Average household size: 2.07 2032 Average household size: 2.07 2031 Average household size: 2.07 2030 Average household size: 2.08 2029 Average household size: 2.09 2028 Average household size: 2.09 2027 Average household size: 2.10 2026 Average household size: 2.11 2025 Average household size: 2.12 2024 Average household size: 2.14 2023 Average household size: 2.15 2022 Average household size: 2.17 2021 Average household size: 2.18 2020 Average household size: 2.19 2019 Average household size: 2.21 2018 Average household size: 2.21 2017 Average household size: 2.22 2016 Average household size: 2.24 2041 Average household size: 2.06 2040 Average household size: 2.06 2039 Average household size: 2.06 2038 Average household size: 2.06 2037 Average household size: 2.06 2036 Average household size: 2.06 2035 Average household size: 2.06 2034 Average household size: 2.06 2033 Average household size: 2.07 2032 Average household size: 2.07 2031 Average household size: 2.07 2030 Average household size: 2.08 2029 Average household size: 2.09 2028 Average household size: 2.09 2027 Average household size: 2.10 2026 Average household size: 2.11 2025 Average household size: 2.12 2024 Average household size: 2.14 2023 Average household size: 2.15 2022 Average household size: 2.17 2021 Average household size: 2.18 2020 Average household size: 2.19 2019 Average household size: 2.21 2018 Average household size: 2.21 2017 Average household size: 2.22 2041 Households: 3,069 2040 Households: 3,061 2039 Households: 3,053 2038 Households: 3,045 2037 Households: 3,037 2036 Households: 3,029 2035 Households: 3,021 2034 Households: 3,013 2033 Households: 3,005 2032 Households: 2,997 2031 Households: 2,989 2030 Households: 2,978 2029 Households: 2,966 2028 Households: 2,951 2027 Households: 2,934 2026 Households: 2,918 2025 Households: 2,903 2024 Households: 2,887 2023 Households: 2,870 2022 Households: 2,851 2021 Households: 2,830 2020 Households: 2,803 2019 Households: 2,759 2018 Households: 2,705 2017 Households: 2,657 2016 Households: 2,540 2041 Total population: 6,674 2040 Total population: 6,659 2039 Total population: 6,596 2038 Total population: 6,581 2037 Total population: 6,567 2036 Total population: 6,553 2035 Total population: 6,543 2034 Total population: 6,486 2033 Total population: 6,480 2032 Total population: 6,475 2031 Total population: 6,471 2030 Total population: 6,466 2029 Total population: 6,415 2028 Total population: 6,405 2027 Total population: 6,391 2026 Total population: 6,384 2025 Total population: 6,392 2024 Total population: 6,357 2023 Total population: 6,364 2022 Total population: 6,363 2021 Total population: 6,361 2020 Total population: 6,333 2019 Total population: 6,219 2018 Total population: 6,125 2017 Total population: 6,043 2016 Total population: 5,834
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
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