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Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shoalhaven Heads

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Shoalhaven Heads is forecast to grow from 1,836 in 2021 to 1,956 in 2051, with the average household size rising from 2.08 to 2.16 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Shoalhaven City Council. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Shoalhaven HeadsForecast year
Summary2021202620312036204120462051
Population3,2313,3853,4563,5023,5453,5743,596
Change in population (5yrs)--1547146423021
Average annual change--0.94%0.41%0.27%0.24%0.17%0.12%
Households1,5511,5781,5951,6111,6271,6461,663
Average household size2.082.142.162.172.172.172.16
Population in non private dwellings7777777
Dwellings1,8361,8561,8761,8961,9161,9361,956
Dwelling occupancy rate84.4885.0285.0284.9784.9285.0285.02
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Shoalhaven Heads was estimated to be 3,231 people. It is expected to increase by over 271 people to 3,502 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 0.81%. This is based on an increase of over 60 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.08 to 2.17 by 2031.

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