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Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast

Nowra-Bomaderry Structure Plan

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Nowra-Bomaderry Structure Plan indicate a 10.1% increase in females under working age, a 19.4% increase in females of retirement age, and a 15.9% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shoalhaven City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Nowra-Bomaderry Structure Plan - Total females202120312051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,1816.21,3386.11,6075.6+426
5 to 91,2116.41,3376.11,6966.0+485
10 to 141,2476.61,3336.11,7286.1+481
15 to 191,0705.61,2845.91,6405.8+570
20 to 241,0875.71,3216.01,6045.6+517
25 to 291,2506.61,4096.41,6986.0+449
30 to 341,2186.41,4656.71,8066.3+588
35 to 391,1856.21,4556.61,8526.5+667
40 to 441,0205.41,3045.91,7316.1+710
45 to 491,0925.71,2505.71,7046.0+612
50 to 541,1205.91,1635.31,6805.9+560
55 to 591,0945.81,2305.61,7286.1+634
60 to 641,2106.41,2745.81,7216.0+511
65 to 691,1175.91,1555.31,5535.5+436
70 to 741,0525.51,1195.11,3804.8+329
75 to 797343.99174.21,1694.1+435
80 to 845102.77353.39503.3+440
85 and over5953.18603.91,2294.3+634
Total persons18,991100.021,949100.028,474100.0+9,483
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Nowra-Bomaderry Structure Plan was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 6.6% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 284 and account for 5.9% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,465 females.

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