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Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shoalhaven City Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Shoalhaven City Council indicate a 10.7% increase in females under working age, a 17.3% increase in females of retirement age, and a 12.5% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shoalhaven City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Shoalhaven City Council - Total females202120312051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2,7055.03,0765.03,3604.7+655
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)4,0727.54,4907.35,0847.1+1,012
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)3,4606.43,7496.14,3386.1+878
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)3,1865.93,8246.24,3646.1+1,178
Young workforce (25 to 34)5,47210.16,31110.37,0899.9+1,618
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)8,52315.710,26316.711,89616.6+3,373
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)7,05313.07,33011.98,88712.4+1,834
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)8,89216.49,45015.310,67814.9+1,786
Seniors (70 to 84)8,86916.410,87817.712,83917.9+3,970
Elderly aged (85 and over)1,9933.72,1913.63,1604.4+1,167
Total persons54,224100.061,561100.071,696100.0+17,472
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Shoalhaven City Council was ages Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69), which accounted for 16.4% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 2,009 and account for 17.7% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is Seniors (70 to 84) years, with a total of 10,878 females.

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