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Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shoalhaven City Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Shoalhaven City Council indicate a 8.2% increase in females under working age, a 43.9% increase in females of retirement age, and a 0.3% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shoalhaven City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shoalhaven City Council - Total females201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,7155.32,9485.13,2895.1+574
5 to 92,9135.73,1155.43,4825.4+569
10 to 142,7205.32,9675.13,3335.2+613
15 to 192,6985.32,5674.42,9054.5+208
20 to 242,3254.52,2773.92,5143.9+189
25 to 292,4244.72,4114.22,6864.2+262
30 to 342,4994.92,7334.73,0364.7+537
35 to 392,4354.72,8895.03,2175.0+781
40 to 442,8125.52,9865.23,3575.2+545
45 to 493,0766.03,0345.23,4645.4+387
50 to 543,3786.63,1255.43,5865.6+208
55 to 593,9087.63,5776.23,8886.1-21
60 to 644,0147.84,0447.04,2426.6+228
65 to 694,1038.04,2827.44,4547.0+351
70 to 743,2606.44,2957.44,4186.9+1,159
75 to 792,4314.73,9506.84,2946.7+1,863
80 to 841,7423.43,5036.03,9566.2+2,214
85 and over1,8293.63,2015.53,8196.0+1,990
Total persons51,282100.057,904100.063,940100.0+12,658
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for females in Shoalhaven City Council was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 8.0% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 1,761 and account for 6.0% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 70 to 74 years, with a total of 4,295 females.

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