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Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shoalhaven City Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Shoalhaven City Council indicate a 12.9% increase in males under working age, a 10.3% increase in males of retirement age, and a 13.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shoalhaven City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shoalhaven City Council - Total males202120312051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,9205.43,3405.53,6575.1+737
5 to 93,0905.73,4825.73,8935.5+803
10 to 143,1665.83,5395.83,9905.6+824
15 to 192,8935.33,3275.43,8075.3+914
20 to 242,6084.83,0775.03,5435.0+935
25 to 292,8525.33,2305.33,6635.1+811
30 to 342,9345.43,4175.63,8665.4+931
35 to 392,8775.33,5835.94,0845.7+1,207
40 to 442,7235.03,4565.74,0375.7+1,314
45 to 492,9975.53,3945.64,1165.8+1,119
50 to 543,0825.73,3725.54,2155.9+1,132
55 to 593,5926.63,7976.24,5316.4+939
60 to 644,1557.64,1406.84,8956.9+740
65 to 694,1557.64,4337.35,0417.1+885
70 to 744,0967.54,1796.84,6566.5+560
75 to 792,8995.33,2965.44,0265.7+1,127
80 to 841,8973.52,4003.92,9734.2+1,076
85 and over1,3842.51,6082.62,2463.2+861
Total persons54,323100.061,069100.071,240100.0+16,917
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Shoalhaven City Council was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 7.6% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 733 and account for 5.7% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 4,433 males.

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