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Vincentia - Erowal Bay & Surrounds

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Vincentia - Erowal Bay & Surrounds is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 527 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Vincentia - Erowal Bay & SurroundsForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--283270253253256
Deaths--350386450525570
Natural increase/decrease---67-115-196-272-314
Net migration--54689235306386
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--4646464646

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 15 2040 forecast population change: 62 2039 forecast population change: 16 2038 forecast population change: 14 2037 forecast population change: 14 2036 forecast population change: 10 2035 forecast population change: 58 2034 forecast population change: 6 2033 forecast population change: 5 2032 forecast population change: 4 2031 forecast population change: 5 2030 forecast population change: 51 2029 forecast population change: 9 2028 forecast population change: 14 2027 forecast population change: 7 2026 forecast population change: -8 2025 forecast population change: 35 2024 forecast population change: -7 2023 forecast population change: 1 2022 forecast population change: 2 2021 forecast population change: 28 2020 forecast population change: 114 2019 forecast population change: 93 2018 forecast population change: 83 2017 forecast population change: 209
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: -64 2040 Natural increase: -63 2039 Natural increase: -63 2038 Natural increase: -62 2037 Natural increase: -61 2036 Natural increase: -58 2035 Natural increase: -58 2034 Natural increase: -55 2033 Natural increase: -52 2032 Natural increase: -49 2031 Natural increase: -46 2030 Natural increase: -43 2029 Natural increase: -39 2028 Natural increase: -36 2027 Natural increase: -32 2026 Natural increase: -28 2025 Natural increase: -25 2024 Natural increase: -23 2023 Natural increase: -21 2022 Natural increase: -19 2021 Natural increase: -18 2020 Natural increase: -17 2019 Natural increase: -15 2018 Natural increase: -11 2017 Natural increase: -6 2041 Total deaths: 116 2040 Total deaths: 115 2039 Total deaths: 114 2038 Total deaths: 113 2037 Total deaths: 112 2036 Total deaths: 109 2035 Total deaths: 108 2034 Total deaths: 105 2033 Total deaths: 102 2032 Total deaths: 100 2031 Total deaths: 97 2030 Total deaths: 93 2029 Total deaths: 90 2028 Total deaths: 87 2027 Total deaths: 83 2026 Total deaths: 80 2025 Total deaths: 78 2024 Total deaths: 76 2023 Total deaths: 76 2022 Total deaths: 75 2021 Total deaths: 75 2020 Total deaths: 75 2019 Total deaths: 72 2018 Total deaths: 68 2017 Total deaths: 60 2041 Total births: 52 2040 Total births: 51 2039 Total births: 51 2038 Total births: 51 2037 Total births: 51 2036 Total births: 51 2035 Total births: 51 2034 Total births: 50 2033 Total births: 50 2032 Total births: 50 2031 Total births: 50 2030 Total births: 51 2029 Total births: 51 2028 Total births: 51 2027 Total births: 51 2026 Total births: 52 2025 Total births: 53 2024 Total births: 54 2023 Total births: 55 2022 Total births: 57 2021 Total births: 57 2020 Total births: 57 2019 Total births: 57 2018 Total births: 57 2017 Total births: 54 2041 Natural increase: -64 2040 Natural increase: -63 2039 Natural increase: -63 2038 Natural increase: -62 2037 Natural increase: -61 2036 Natural increase: -58 2035 Natural increase: -58 2034 Natural increase: -55 2033 Natural increase: -52 2032 Natural increase: -49 2031 Natural increase: -46 2030 Natural increase: -43 2029 Natural increase: -39 2028 Natural increase: -36 2027 Natural increase: -32 2026 Natural increase: -28 2025 Natural increase: -25 2024 Natural increase: -23 2023 Natural increase: -21 2022 Natural increase: -19 2021 Natural increase: -18 2020 Natural increase: -17 2019 Natural increase: -15 2018 Natural increase: -11 2017 Natural increase: -6 2041 Total deaths: 116 2040 Total deaths: 115 2039 Total deaths: 114 2038 Total deaths: 113 2037 Total deaths: 112 2036 Total deaths: 109 2035 Total deaths: 108 2034 Total deaths: 105 2033 Total deaths: 102 2032 Total deaths: 100 2031 Total deaths: 97 2030 Total deaths: 93 2029 Total deaths: 90 2028 Total deaths: 87 2027 Total deaths: 83 2026 Total deaths: 80 2025 Total deaths: 78 2024 Total deaths: 76 2023 Total deaths: 76 2022 Total deaths: 75 2021 Total deaths: 75 2020 Total deaths: 75 2019 Total deaths: 72 2018 Total deaths: 68 2017 Total deaths: 60 2041 Total births: 52 2040 Total births: 51 2039 Total births: 51 2038 Total births: 51 2037 Total births: 51 2036 Total births: 51 2035 Total births: 51 2034 Total births: 50 2033 Total births: 50 2032 Total births: 50 2031 Total births: 50 2030 Total births: 51 2029 Total births: 51 2028 Total births: 51 2027 Total births: 51 2026 Total births: 52 2025 Total births: 53 2024 Total births: 54 2023 Total births: 55 2022 Total births: 57 2021 Total births: 57 2020 Total births: 57 2019 Total births: 57 2018 Total births: 57 2017 Total births: 54
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 79 2040 Total net migration: 79 2039 Total net migration: 78 2038 Total net migration: 75 2037 Total net migration: 74 2036 Total net migration: 67 2035 Total net migration: 69 2034 Total net migration: 60 2033 Total net migration: 57 2032 Total net migration: 52 2031 Total net migration: 51 2030 Total net migration: 47 2029 Total net migration: 48 2028 Total net migration: 50 2027 Total net migration: 39 2026 Total net migration: 19 2025 Total net migration: 14 2024 Total net migration: 15 2023 Total net migration: 21 2022 Total net migration: 20 2021 Total net migration: 45 2020 Total net migration: 85 2019 Total net migration: 108 2018 Total net migration: 94 2017 Total net migration: 214 2041 Total out migration: 442 2040 Total out migration: 441 2039 Total out migration: 440 2038 Total out migration: 439 2037 Total out migration: 437 2036 Total out migration: 436 2035 Total out migration: 435 2034 Total out migration: 434 2033 Total out migration: 434 2032 Total out migration: 434 2031 Total out migration: 434 2030 Total out migration: 434 2029 Total out migration: 434 2028 Total out migration: 433 2027 Total out migration: 434 2026 Total out migration: 436 2025 Total out migration: 439 2024 Total out migration: 443 2023 Total out migration: 446 2022 Total out migration: 449 2021 Total out migration: 448 2020 Total out migration: 445 2019 Total out migration: 439 2018 Total out migration: 434 2017 Total out migration: 425 2041 Total in migration: 521 2040 Total in migration: 520 2039 Total in migration: 518 2038 Total in migration: 514 2037 Total in migration: 511 2036 Total in migration: 504 2035 Total in migration: 504 2034 Total in migration: 494 2033 Total in migration: 491 2032 Total in migration: 486 2031 Total in migration: 485 2030 Total in migration: 481 2029 Total in migration: 482 2028 Total in migration: 483 2027 Total in migration: 473 2026 Total in migration: 456 2025 Total in migration: 453 2024 Total in migration: 458 2023 Total in migration: 467 2022 Total in migration: 469 2021 Total in migration: 494 2020 Total in migration: 530 2019 Total in migration: 547 2018 Total in migration: 528 2017 Total in migration: 639 2041 Total net migration: 79 2040 Total net migration: 79 2039 Total net migration: 78 2038 Total net migration: 75 2037 Total net migration: 74 2036 Total net migration: 67 2035 Total net migration: 69 2034 Total net migration: 60 2033 Total net migration: 57 2032 Total net migration: 52 2031 Total net migration: 51 2030 Total net migration: 47 2029 Total net migration: 48 2028 Total net migration: 50 2027 Total net migration: 39 2026 Total net migration: 19 2025 Total net migration: 14 2024 Total net migration: 15 2023 Total net migration: 21 2022 Total net migration: 20 2021 Total net migration: 45 2020 Total net migration: 85 2019 Total net migration: 108 2018 Total net migration: 94 2017 Total net migration: 214 2041 Total out migration: 442 2040 Total out migration: 441 2039 Total out migration: 440 2038 Total out migration: 439 2037 Total out migration: 437 2036 Total out migration: 436 2035 Total out migration: 435 2034 Total out migration: 434 2033 Total out migration: 434 2032 Total out migration: 434 2031 Total out migration: 434 2030 Total out migration: 434 2029 Total out migration: 434 2028 Total out migration: 433 2027 Total out migration: 434 2026 Total out migration: 436 2025 Total out migration: 439 2024 Total out migration: 443 2023 Total out migration: 446 2022 Total out migration: 449 2021 Total out migration: 448 2020 Total out migration: 445 2019 Total out migration: 439 2018 Total out migration: 434 2017 Total out migration: 425 2041 Total in migration: 521 2040 Total in migration: 520 2039 Total in migration: 518 2038 Total in migration: 514 2037 Total in migration: 511 2036 Total in migration: 504 2035 Total in migration: 504 2034 Total in migration: 494 2033 Total in migration: 491 2032 Total in migration: 486 2031 Total in migration: 485 2030 Total in migration: 481 2029 Total in migration: 482 2028 Total in migration: 483 2027 Total in migration: 473 2026 Total in migration: 456 2025 Total in migration: 453 2024 Total in migration: 458 2023 Total in migration: 467 2022 Total in migration: 469 2021 Total in migration: 494 2020 Total in migration: 530 2019 Total in migration: 547 2018 Total in migration: 528 2017 Total in migration: 639
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
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