City of Greater SheppartonPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shepparton Urban Centre

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shepparton Urban Centre is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,751 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shepparton Urban CentreForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--3,1533,3783,5593,760
Deaths--1,6571,8472,0402,247
Natural increase/decrease--1,4961,5311,5191,513
Net migration--2,1811,8631,7161,666
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--74100100100

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 618 2035 forecast population change: 629 2034 forecast population change: 637 2033 forecast population change: 692 2032 forecast population change: 701 2031 forecast population change: 644 2030 forecast population change: 652 2029 forecast population change: 634 2028 forecast population change: 703 2027 forecast population change: 702 2026 forecast population change: 649 2025 forecast population change: 685 2024 forecast population change: 664 2023 forecast population change: 749 2022 forecast population change: 747 2021 forecast population change: 735 2020 forecast population change: 725 2019 forecast population change: 841 2018 forecast population change: 743 2017 forecast population change: 709
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 303 2035 Natural increase: 303 2034 Natural increase: 302 2033 Natural increase: 302 2032 Natural increase: 302 2031 Natural increase: 303 2030 Natural increase: 303 2029 Natural increase: 304 2028 Natural increase: 304 2027 Natural increase: 304 2026 Natural increase: 306 2025 Natural increase: 307 2024 Natural increase: 307 2023 Natural increase: 307 2022 Natural increase: 305 2021 Natural increase: 304 2020 Natural increase: 305 2019 Natural increase: 301 2018 Natural increase: 298 2017 Natural increase: 288 2036 Total deaths: 465 2035 Total deaths: 457 2034 Total deaths: 450 2033 Total deaths: 441 2032 Total deaths: 433 2031 Total deaths: 424 2030 Total deaths: 416 2029 Total deaths: 408 2028 Total deaths: 400 2027 Total deaths: 392 2026 Total deaths: 384 2025 Total deaths: 376 2024 Total deaths: 369 2023 Total deaths: 362 2022 Total deaths: 355 2021 Total deaths: 347 2020 Total deaths: 337 2019 Total deaths: 331 2018 Total deaths: 323 2017 Total deaths: 319 2036 Total births: 768 2035 Total births: 760 2034 Total births: 752 2033 Total births: 744 2032 Total births: 735 2031 Total births: 727 2030 Total births: 719 2029 Total births: 712 2028 Total births: 704 2027 Total births: 697 2026 Total births: 690 2025 Total births: 683 2024 Total births: 676 2023 Total births: 668 2022 Total births: 660 2021 Total births: 651 2020 Total births: 642 2019 Total births: 632 2018 Total births: 621 2017 Total births: 607 2036 Natural increase: 303 2035 Natural increase: 303 2034 Natural increase: 302 2033 Natural increase: 302 2032 Natural increase: 302 2031 Natural increase: 303 2030 Natural increase: 303 2029 Natural increase: 304 2028 Natural increase: 304 2027 Natural increase: 304 2026 Natural increase: 306 2025 Natural increase: 307 2024 Natural increase: 307 2023 Natural increase: 307 2022 Natural increase: 305 2021 Natural increase: 304 2020 Natural increase: 305 2019 Natural increase: 301 2018 Natural increase: 298 2017 Natural increase: 288 2036 Total deaths: 465 2035 Total deaths: 457 2034 Total deaths: 450 2033 Total deaths: 441 2032 Total deaths: 433 2031 Total deaths: 424 2030 Total deaths: 416 2029 Total deaths: 408 2028 Total deaths: 400 2027 Total deaths: 392 2026 Total deaths: 384 2025 Total deaths: 376 2024 Total deaths: 369 2023 Total deaths: 362 2022 Total deaths: 355 2021 Total deaths: 347 2020 Total deaths: 337 2019 Total deaths: 331 2018 Total deaths: 323 2017 Total deaths: 319 2036 Total births: 768 2035 Total births: 760 2034 Total births: 752 2033 Total births: 744 2032 Total births: 735 2031 Total births: 727 2030 Total births: 719 2029 Total births: 712 2028 Total births: 704 2027 Total births: 697 2026 Total births: 690 2025 Total births: 683 2024 Total births: 676 2023 Total births: 668 2022 Total births: 660 2021 Total births: 651 2020 Total births: 642 2019 Total births: 632 2018 Total births: 621 2017 Total births: 607
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 315 2035 Total net migration: 326 2034 Total net migration: 336 2033 Total net migration: 340 2032 Total net migration: 350 2031 Total net migration: 341 2030 Total net migration: 349 2029 Total net migration: 330 2028 Total net migration: 349 2027 Total net migration: 347 2026 Total net migration: 343 2025 Total net migration: 379 2024 Total net migration: 357 2023 Total net migration: 392 2022 Total net migration: 392 2021 Total net migration: 430 2020 Total net migration: 420 2019 Total net migration: 409 2018 Total net migration: 445 2017 Total net migration: 477 2036 Total out migration: 4,357 2035 Total out migration: 4,307 2034 Total out migration: 4,258 2033 Total out migration: 4,208 2032 Total out migration: 4,156 2031 Total out migration: 4,104 2030 Total out migration: 4,053 2029 Total out migration: 4,002 2028 Total out migration: 3,951 2027 Total out migration: 3,900 2026 Total out migration: 3,850 2025 Total out migration: 3,795 2024 Total out migration: 3,743 2023 Total out migration: 3,685 2022 Total out migration: 3,626 2021 Total out migration: 3,559 2020 Total out migration: 3,495 2019 Total out migration: 3,432 2018 Total out migration: 3,364 2017 Total out migration: 3,300 2036 Total in migration: 4,672 2035 Total in migration: 4,633 2034 Total in migration: 4,593 2033 Total in migration: 4,547 2032 Total in migration: 4,506 2031 Total in migration: 4,446 2030 Total in migration: 4,401 2029 Total in migration: 4,332 2028 Total in migration: 4,300 2027 Total in migration: 4,247 2026 Total in migration: 4,193 2025 Total in migration: 4,174 2024 Total in migration: 4,100 2023 Total in migration: 4,078 2022 Total in migration: 4,018 2021 Total in migration: 3,990 2020 Total in migration: 3,915 2019 Total in migration: 3,841 2018 Total in migration: 3,809 2017 Total in migration: 3,777 2036 Total net migration: 315 2035 Total net migration: 326 2034 Total net migration: 336 2033 Total net migration: 340 2032 Total net migration: 350 2031 Total net migration: 341 2030 Total net migration: 349 2029 Total net migration: 330 2028 Total net migration: 349 2027 Total net migration: 347 2026 Total net migration: 343 2025 Total net migration: 379 2024 Total net migration: 357 2023 Total net migration: 392 2022 Total net migration: 392 2021 Total net migration: 430 2020 Total net migration: 420 2019 Total net migration: 409 2018 Total net migration: 445 2017 Total net migration: 477 2036 Total out migration: 4,357 2035 Total out migration: 4,307 2034 Total out migration: 4,258 2033 Total out migration: 4,208 2032 Total out migration: 4,156 2031 Total out migration: 4,104 2030 Total out migration: 4,053 2029 Total out migration: 4,002 2028 Total out migration: 3,951 2027 Total out migration: 3,900 2026 Total out migration: 3,850 2025 Total out migration: 3,795 2024 Total out migration: 3,743 2023 Total out migration: 3,685 2022 Total out migration: 3,626 2021 Total out migration: 3,559 2020 Total out migration: 3,495 2019 Total out migration: 3,432 2018 Total out migration: 3,364 2017 Total out migration: 3,300 2036 Total in migration: 4,672 2035 Total in migration: 4,633 2034 Total in migration: 4,593 2033 Total in migration: 4,547 2032 Total in migration: 4,506 2031 Total in migration: 4,446 2030 Total in migration: 4,401 2029 Total in migration: 4,332 2028 Total in migration: 4,300 2027 Total in migration: 4,247 2026 Total in migration: 4,193 2025 Total in migration: 4,174 2024 Total in migration: 4,100 2023 Total in migration: 4,078 2022 Total in migration: 4,018 2021 Total in migration: 3,990 2020 Total in migration: 3,915 2019 Total in migration: 3,841 2018 Total in migration: 3,809 2017 Total in migration: 3,777
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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