Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Mount Warrigal

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Mount Warrigal will increase by an average of 5 dwellings per annum to 2,000 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shellharbour City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • No major sites identified
  • Low level of infill (4-5 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 2,000 2040 Total dwellings: 1,995 2039 Total dwellings: 1,990 2038 Total dwellings: 1,985 2037 Total dwellings: 1,980 2036 Total dwellings: 1,975 2035 Total dwellings: 1,970 2034 Total dwellings: 1,965 2033 Total dwellings: 1,960 2032 Total dwellings: 1,955 2031 Total dwellings: 1,950 2030 Total dwellings: 1,946 2029 Total dwellings: 1,942 2028 Total dwellings: 1,938 2027 Total dwellings: 1,934 2026 Total dwellings: 1,930 2025 Total dwellings: 1,926 2024 Total dwellings: 1,922 2023 Total dwellings: 1,918 2022 Total dwellings: 1,914 2021 Total dwellings: 1,910 2020 Total dwellings: 1,906 2019 Total dwellings: 1,902 2018 Total dwellings: 1,894 2017 Total dwellings: 1,886 2041 Total dwellings: 2,000 2040 Total dwellings: 1,995 2039 Total dwellings: 1,990 2038 Total dwellings: 1,985 2037 Total dwellings: 1,980 2036 Total dwellings: 1,975 2035 Total dwellings: 1,970 2034 Total dwellings: 1,965 2033 Total dwellings: 1,960 2032 Total dwellings: 1,955 2031 Total dwellings: 1,950 2030 Total dwellings: 1,946 2029 Total dwellings: 1,942 2028 Total dwellings: 1,938 2027 Total dwellings: 1,934 2026 Total dwellings: 1,930 2025 Total dwellings: 1,926 2024 Total dwellings: 1,922 2023 Total dwellings: 1,918 2022 Total dwellings: 1,914 2021 Total dwellings: 1,910 2020 Total dwellings: 1,906 2019 Total dwellings: 1,902 2018 Total dwellings: 1,894 2017 Total dwellings: 1,886 2041 Forecast development: 5 2040 Forecast development: 5 2039 Forecast development: 5 2038 Forecast development: 5 2037 Forecast development: 5 2036 Forecast development: 5 2035 Forecast development: 5 2034 Forecast development: 5 2033 Forecast development: 5 2032 Forecast development: 5 2031 Forecast development: 4 2030 Forecast development: 4 2029 Forecast development: 4 2028 Forecast development: 4 2027 Forecast development: 4 2026 Forecast development: 4 2025 Forecast development: 4 2024 Forecast development: 4 2023 Forecast development: 4 2022 Forecast development: 4 2021 Forecast development: 4 2020 Forecast development: 4 2019 Forecast development: 8 2018 Forecast development: 8 2017 Forecast development: 8
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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