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Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shellharbour City Council

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Shellharbour City Council is forecast to grow from 26,585 in 2016 to 39,864 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.73 to 2.66 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Shellharbour City Council. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Shellharbour City CouncilForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--7,6138,2466,8134,8565,032
Average annual change--2.08%2.03%1.53%1.02%1.01%
Average household size2.732.712.702.692.672.66
Population in non private dwellings8201,1241,3091,3091,3091,309
Dwelling occupancy rate96.0295.2595.3995.4795.5895.82
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Shellharbour City Council was estimated to be 70,391 people. It is expected to increase by over 22,672 people to 93,063 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.83%. This is based on an increase of over 8,644 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.73 to 2.69 by 2026.

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