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Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shellharbour City Council

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2017, the age structure forecasts for Shellharbour City Council indicate a 6.2% increase in population under working age, a 7.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shellharbour City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shellharbour City Council - Total persons[Parameter].[Year1Label]20172041Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,6866.74,9986.76,9496.7+2,263
5 to 94,8836.95,1686.97,1667.0+2,283
10 to 144,6976.74,9896.76,9616.8+2,264
15 to 194,8937.04,8666.56,6186.4+1,725
20 to 244,5996.54,8696.56,1596.0+1,560
25 to 294,2156.04,6436.26,0945.9+1,879
30 to 344,3816.24,8106.56,5536.4+2,172
35 to 394,1605.94,6066.26,8016.6+2,641
40 to 444,6876.74,5916.26,8876.7+2,200
45 to 494,5506.54,9066.66,5116.3+1,961
50 to 544,7536.84,5096.16,0515.9+1,298
55 to 594,5826.54,8776.65,6835.5+1,101
60 to 643,9355.64,3215.85,2645.1+1,329
65 to 693,6775.23,7565.05,0965.0+1,419
70 to 742,8004.03,3044.44,6884.6+1,888
75 to 792,1313.02,3103.14,0944.0+1,963
80 to 841,4162.01,5762.13,1153.0+1,699
85 and over1,3461.91,2781.72,2622.2+916
Total persons70,391100.074,376100.0102,950100.0+32,559
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2021.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in Shellharbour City Council was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2017 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 504 and account for 4.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2017 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 5,168 persons.

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