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Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast

Albion Park

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Albion Park indicate a 1.1% increase in population under working age, a 55.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Albion Park is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Albion Park - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0067.41,0117.19946.8-12
5 to 91,0617.81,0507.41,0447.1-17
10 to 141,0027.41,0437.41,0457.1+43
15 to 191,1198.29907.09886.7-131
20 to 249326.88425.98515.8-80
25 to 298075.98666.18055.5-2
30 to 348946.68776.28555.8-39
35 to 399086.78706.18876.0-21
40 to 449446.98576.08695.9-75
45 to 499296.88005.77995.4-130
50 to 549236.87825.57034.8-220
55 to 598336.18085.76924.7-141
60 to 646214.68436.06874.7+66
65 to 694943.67635.47224.9+228
70 to 743652.75844.17285.0+363
75 to 792842.14423.16874.7+403
80 to 842051.53112.26024.1+397
85 and over2772.04233.07084.8+432
Total persons13,603100.014,162100.014,669100.0+1,065
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Albion Park was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 269 and account for 5.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 1,050 persons.

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