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Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shellharbour City Council

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Shellharbour City Council is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Shellharbour City Council depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Significant new housing opportunities across the City, particularly in Calderwood, Albion Park and Shell Cove, which are expected to attract predominantly (but not exclusively) young families and couples (25-39 years) accessing family type housing in order to start families at a point in the future
  • Significant out-migration of young adults (15-24 years) to Wollongong and Sydney, primarily for employment and education purposes
  • Modest gain of older adults and empty-nesters (50-69 years) attracted to coastal suburbs
  • Modest loss of retirees aged 70+ years.

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