Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shellharbour - Barrack Point

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shellharbour - Barrack Point is forecast for the period from 2037 to 2041, which is expected to have a net increase of 229 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shellharbour - Barrack PointForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--185185184186201
Deaths--172215243264287
Natural increase/decrease--12-31-60-78-86
Net migration---719699196314
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--0105000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 47 2040 forecast population change: 44 2039 forecast population change: 49 2038 forecast population change: 51 2037 forecast population change: 38 2036 forecast population change: 34 2035 forecast population change: 29 2034 forecast population change: 33 2033 forecast population change: 13 2032 forecast population change: 12 2031 forecast population change: 7 2030 forecast population change: 8 2029 forecast population change: 6 2028 forecast population change: 10 2027 forecast population change: 10 2026 forecast population change: 10 2025 forecast population change: 9 2024 forecast population change: 1 2023 forecast population change: 9 2022 forecast population change: 144 2021 forecast population change: -11 2020 forecast population change: -11 2019 forecast population change: 23 2018 forecast population change: -17 2017 forecast population change: -41
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: -17 2040 Natural increase: -17 2039 Natural increase: -17 2038 Natural increase: -17 2037 Natural increase: -17 2036 Natural increase: -17 2035 Natural increase: -16 2034 Natural increase: -15 2033 Natural increase: -15 2032 Natural increase: -15 2031 Natural increase: -14 2030 Natural increase: -13 2029 Natural increase: -12 2028 Natural increase: -11 2027 Natural increase: -10 2026 Natural increase: -9 2025 Natural increase: -7 2024 Natural increase: -6 2023 Natural increase: -5 2022 Natural increase: -3 2021 Natural increase: -1 2020 Natural increase: 1 2019 Natural increase: 3 2018 Natural increase: 4 2017 Natural increase: 5 2041 Total deaths: 59 2040 Total deaths: 58 2039 Total deaths: 57 2038 Total deaths: 57 2037 Total deaths: 56 2036 Total deaths: 55 2035 Total deaths: 54 2034 Total deaths: 53 2033 Total deaths: 52 2032 Total deaths: 51 2031 Total deaths: 50 2030 Total deaths: 49 2029 Total deaths: 49 2028 Total deaths: 48 2027 Total deaths: 47 2026 Total deaths: 46 2025 Total deaths: 44 2024 Total deaths: 43 2023 Total deaths: 42 2022 Total deaths: 40 2021 Total deaths: 38 2020 Total deaths: 36 2019 Total deaths: 34 2018 Total deaths: 33 2017 Total deaths: 32 2041 Total births: 42 2040 Total births: 41 2039 Total births: 40 2038 Total births: 39 2037 Total births: 39 2036 Total births: 38 2035 Total births: 38 2034 Total births: 37 2033 Total births: 37 2032 Total births: 37 2031 Total births: 37 2030 Total births: 37 2029 Total births: 37 2028 Total births: 37 2027 Total births: 37 2026 Total births: 37 2025 Total births: 37 2024 Total births: 37 2023 Total births: 37 2022 Total births: 37 2021 Total births: 37 2020 Total births: 37 2019 Total births: 37 2018 Total births: 37 2017 Total births: 37 2041 Natural increase: -17 2040 Natural increase: -17 2039 Natural increase: -17 2038 Natural increase: -17 2037 Natural increase: -17 2036 Natural increase: -17 2035 Natural increase: -16 2034 Natural increase: -15 2033 Natural increase: -15 2032 Natural increase: -15 2031 Natural increase: -14 2030 Natural increase: -13 2029 Natural increase: -12 2028 Natural increase: -11 2027 Natural increase: -10 2026 Natural increase: -9 2025 Natural increase: -7 2024 Natural increase: -6 2023 Natural increase: -5 2022 Natural increase: -3 2021 Natural increase: -1 2020 Natural increase: 1 2019 Natural increase: 3 2018 Natural increase: 4 2017 Natural increase: 5 2041 Total deaths: 59 2040 Total deaths: 58 2039 Total deaths: 57 2038 Total deaths: 57 2037 Total deaths: 56 2036 Total deaths: 55 2035 Total deaths: 54 2034 Total deaths: 53 2033 Total deaths: 52 2032 Total deaths: 51 2031 Total deaths: 50 2030 Total deaths: 49 2029 Total deaths: 49 2028 Total deaths: 48 2027 Total deaths: 47 2026 Total deaths: 46 2025 Total deaths: 44 2024 Total deaths: 43 2023 Total deaths: 42 2022 Total deaths: 40 2021 Total deaths: 38 2020 Total deaths: 36 2019 Total deaths: 34 2018 Total deaths: 33 2017 Total deaths: 32 2041 Total births: 42 2040 Total births: 41 2039 Total births: 40 2038 Total births: 39 2037 Total births: 39 2036 Total births: 38 2035 Total births: 38 2034 Total births: 37 2033 Total births: 37 2032 Total births: 37 2031 Total births: 37 2030 Total births: 37 2029 Total births: 37 2028 Total births: 37 2027 Total births: 37 2026 Total births: 37 2025 Total births: 37 2024 Total births: 37 2023 Total births: 37 2022 Total births: 37 2021 Total births: 37 2020 Total births: 37 2019 Total births: 37 2018 Total births: 37 2017 Total births: 37
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 64 2040 Total net migration: 61 2039 Total net migration: 66 2038 Total net migration: 68 2037 Total net migration: 55 2036 Total net migration: 50 2035 Total net migration: 44 2034 Total net migration: 48 2033 Total net migration: 28 2032 Total net migration: 26 2031 Total net migration: 20 2030 Total net migration: 20 2029 Total net migration: 18 2028 Total net migration: 21 2027 Total net migration: 20 2026 Total net migration: 18 2025 Total net migration: 16 2024 Total net migration: 7 2023 Total net migration: 13 2022 Total net migration: 41 2021 Total net migration: -11 2020 Total net migration: -13 2019 Total net migration: 20 2018 Total net migration: -21 2017 Total net migration: -46 2041 Total out migration: 371 2040 Total out migration: 366 2039 Total out migration: 361 2038 Total out migration: 356 2037 Total out migration: 347 2036 Total out migration: 343 2035 Total out migration: 340 2034 Total out migration: 336 2033 Total out migration: 334 2032 Total out migration: 332 2031 Total out migration: 331 2030 Total out migration: 331 2029 Total out migration: 331 2028 Total out migration: 330 2027 Total out migration: 331 2026 Total out migration: 332 2025 Total out migration: 333 2024 Total out migration: 334 2023 Total out migration: 334 2022 Total out migration: 326 2021 Total out migration: 328 2020 Total out migration: 331 2019 Total out migration: 331 2018 Total out migration: 335 2017 Total out migration: 346 2041 Total in migration: 435 2040 Total in migration: 427 2039 Total in migration: 427 2038 Total in migration: 424 2037 Total in migration: 402 2036 Total in migration: 393 2035 Total in migration: 384 2034 Total in migration: 384 2033 Total in migration: 362 2032 Total in migration: 357 2031 Total in migration: 352 2030 Total in migration: 351 2029 Total in migration: 349 2028 Total in migration: 351 2027 Total in migration: 351 2026 Total in migration: 350 2025 Total in migration: 349 2024 Total in migration: 340 2023 Total in migration: 348 2022 Total in migration: 368 2021 Total in migration: 318 2020 Total in migration: 318 2019 Total in migration: 350 2018 Total in migration: 313 2017 Total in migration: 300 2041 Total net migration: 64 2040 Total net migration: 61 2039 Total net migration: 66 2038 Total net migration: 68 2037 Total net migration: 55 2036 Total net migration: 50 2035 Total net migration: 44 2034 Total net migration: 48 2033 Total net migration: 28 2032 Total net migration: 26 2031 Total net migration: 20 2030 Total net migration: 20 2029 Total net migration: 18 2028 Total net migration: 21 2027 Total net migration: 20 2026 Total net migration: 18 2025 Total net migration: 16 2024 Total net migration: 7 2023 Total net migration: 13 2022 Total net migration: 41 2021 Total net migration: -11 2020 Total net migration: -13 2019 Total net migration: 20 2018 Total net migration: -21 2017 Total net migration: -46 2041 Total out migration: 371 2040 Total out migration: 366 2039 Total out migration: 361 2038 Total out migration: 356 2037 Total out migration: 347 2036 Total out migration: 343 2035 Total out migration: 340 2034 Total out migration: 336 2033 Total out migration: 334 2032 Total out migration: 332 2031 Total out migration: 331 2030 Total out migration: 331 2029 Total out migration: 331 2028 Total out migration: 330 2027 Total out migration: 331 2026 Total out migration: 332 2025 Total out migration: 333 2024 Total out migration: 334 2023 Total out migration: 334 2022 Total out migration: 326 2021 Total out migration: 328 2020 Total out migration: 331 2019 Total out migration: 331 2018 Total out migration: 335 2017 Total out migration: 346 2041 Total in migration: 435 2040 Total in migration: 427 2039 Total in migration: 427 2038 Total in migration: 424 2037 Total in migration: 402 2036 Total in migration: 393 2035 Total in migration: 384 2034 Total in migration: 384 2033 Total in migration: 362 2032 Total in migration: 357 2031 Total in migration: 352 2030 Total in migration: 351 2029 Total in migration: 349 2028 Total in migration: 351 2027 Total in migration: 351 2026 Total in migration: 350 2025 Total in migration: 349 2024 Total in migration: 340 2023 Total in migration: 348 2022 Total in migration: 368 2021 Total in migration: 318 2020 Total in migration: 318 2019 Total in migration: 350 2018 Total in migration: 313 2017 Total in migration: 300
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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