Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Blackbutt - Shellharbour City Centre

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Blackbutt - Shellharbour City Centre is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,270 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Blackbutt - Shellharbour City CentreForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--202285328325325
Deaths--109157204243286
Natural increase/decrease--931281258239
Net migration--8511,134527284137
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--6924340

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 27 2040 forecast population change: 27 2039 forecast population change: 25 2038 forecast population change: 20 2037 forecast population change: 78 2036 forecast population change: 111 2035 forecast population change: 66 2034 forecast population change: 73 2033 forecast population change: 62 2032 forecast population change: 86 2031 forecast population change: 106 2030 forecast population change: 84 2029 forecast population change: 74 2028 forecast population change: 130 2027 forecast population change: 281 2026 forecast population change: 278 2025 forecast population change: 275 2024 forecast population change: 268 2023 forecast population change: 220 2022 forecast population change: 230 2021 forecast population change: 520 2020 forecast population change: 353 2019 forecast population change: 62 2018 forecast population change: 21 2017 forecast population change: -5
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 4 2040 Natural increase: 6 2039 Natural increase: 8 2038 Natural increase: 10 2037 Natural increase: 11 2036 Natural increase: 13 2035 Natural increase: 15 2034 Natural increase: 16 2033 Natural increase: 18 2032 Natural increase: 20 2031 Natural increase: 22 2030 Natural increase: 24 2029 Natural increase: 25 2028 Natural increase: 27 2027 Natural increase: 26 2026 Natural increase: 26 2025 Natural increase: 25 2024 Natural increase: 25 2023 Natural increase: 26 2022 Natural increase: 26 2021 Natural increase: 21 2020 Natural increase: 17 2019 Natural increase: 18 2018 Natural increase: 18 2017 Natural increase: 19 2041 Total deaths: 60 2040 Total deaths: 59 2039 Total deaths: 57 2038 Total deaths: 56 2037 Total deaths: 54 2036 Total deaths: 52 2035 Total deaths: 50 2034 Total deaths: 49 2033 Total deaths: 47 2032 Total deaths: 45 2031 Total deaths: 43 2030 Total deaths: 42 2029 Total deaths: 41 2028 Total deaths: 40 2027 Total deaths: 38 2026 Total deaths: 36 2025 Total deaths: 34 2024 Total deaths: 31 2023 Total deaths: 29 2022 Total deaths: 27 2021 Total deaths: 24 2020 Total deaths: 22 2019 Total deaths: 21 2018 Total deaths: 21 2017 Total deaths: 20 2041 Total births: 65 2040 Total births: 65 2039 Total births: 65 2038 Total births: 66 2037 Total births: 65 2036 Total births: 65 2035 Total births: 65 2034 Total births: 65 2033 Total births: 65 2032 Total births: 65 2031 Total births: 65 2030 Total births: 66 2029 Total births: 67 2028 Total births: 67 2027 Total births: 64 2026 Total births: 62 2025 Total births: 59 2024 Total births: 56 2023 Total births: 55 2022 Total births: 53 2021 Total births: 45 2020 Total births: 39 2019 Total births: 39 2018 Total births: 39 2017 Total births: 40 2041 Natural increase: 4 2040 Natural increase: 6 2039 Natural increase: 8 2038 Natural increase: 10 2037 Natural increase: 11 2036 Natural increase: 13 2035 Natural increase: 15 2034 Natural increase: 16 2033 Natural increase: 18 2032 Natural increase: 20 2031 Natural increase: 22 2030 Natural increase: 24 2029 Natural increase: 25 2028 Natural increase: 27 2027 Natural increase: 26 2026 Natural increase: 26 2025 Natural increase: 25 2024 Natural increase: 25 2023 Natural increase: 26 2022 Natural increase: 26 2021 Natural increase: 21 2020 Natural increase: 17 2019 Natural increase: 18 2018 Natural increase: 18 2017 Natural increase: 19 2041 Total deaths: 60 2040 Total deaths: 59 2039 Total deaths: 57 2038 Total deaths: 56 2037 Total deaths: 54 2036 Total deaths: 52 2035 Total deaths: 50 2034 Total deaths: 49 2033 Total deaths: 47 2032 Total deaths: 45 2031 Total deaths: 43 2030 Total deaths: 42 2029 Total deaths: 41 2028 Total deaths: 40 2027 Total deaths: 38 2026 Total deaths: 36 2025 Total deaths: 34 2024 Total deaths: 31 2023 Total deaths: 29 2022 Total deaths: 27 2021 Total deaths: 24 2020 Total deaths: 22 2019 Total deaths: 21 2018 Total deaths: 21 2017 Total deaths: 20 2041 Total births: 65 2040 Total births: 65 2039 Total births: 65 2038 Total births: 66 2037 Total births: 65 2036 Total births: 65 2035 Total births: 65 2034 Total births: 65 2033 Total births: 65 2032 Total births: 65 2031 Total births: 65 2030 Total births: 66 2029 Total births: 67 2028 Total births: 67 2027 Total births: 64 2026 Total births: 62 2025 Total births: 59 2024 Total births: 56 2023 Total births: 55 2022 Total births: 53 2021 Total births: 45 2020 Total births: 39 2019 Total births: 39 2018 Total births: 39 2017 Total births: 40
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 22 2040 Total net migration: 21 2039 Total net migration: 17 2038 Total net migration: 10 2037 Total net migration: 67 2036 Total net migration: 64 2035 Total net migration: 52 2034 Total net migration: 57 2033 Total net migration: 44 2032 Total net migration: 66 2031 Total net migration: 60 2030 Total net migration: 60 2029 Total net migration: 48 2028 Total net migration: 103 2027 Total net migration: 255 2026 Total net migration: 250 2025 Total net migration: 249 2024 Total net migration: 243 2023 Total net migration: 194 2022 Total net migration: 197 2021 Total net migration: 493 2020 Total net migration: 336 2019 Total net migration: 44 2018 Total net migration: 3 2017 Total net migration: -24 2041 Total out migration: 722 2040 Total out migration: 721 2039 Total out migration: 720 2038 Total out migration: 721 2037 Total out migration: 714 2036 Total out migration: 708 2035 Total out migration: 703 2034 Total out migration: 697 2033 Total out migration: 694 2032 Total out migration: 689 2031 Total out migration: 683 2030 Total out migration: 679 2029 Total out migration: 676 2028 Total out migration: 668 2027 Total out migration: 639 2026 Total out migration: 610 2025 Total out migration: 580 2024 Total out migration: 552 2023 Total out migration: 529 2022 Total out migration: 505 2021 Total out migration: 440 2020 Total out migration: 395 2019 Total out migration: 391 2018 Total out migration: 391 2017 Total out migration: 399 2041 Total in migration: 744 2040 Total in migration: 741 2039 Total in migration: 737 2038 Total in migration: 731 2037 Total in migration: 781 2036 Total in migration: 772 2035 Total in migration: 755 2034 Total in migration: 754 2033 Total in migration: 738 2032 Total in migration: 755 2031 Total in migration: 743 2030 Total in migration: 739 2029 Total in migration: 725 2028 Total in migration: 771 2027 Total in migration: 894 2026 Total in migration: 860 2025 Total in migration: 829 2024 Total in migration: 795 2023 Total in migration: 723 2022 Total in migration: 702 2021 Total in migration: 933 2020 Total in migration: 731 2019 Total in migration: 435 2018 Total in migration: 394 2017 Total in migration: 374 2041 Total net migration: 22 2040 Total net migration: 21 2039 Total net migration: 17 2038 Total net migration: 10 2037 Total net migration: 67 2036 Total net migration: 64 2035 Total net migration: 52 2034 Total net migration: 57 2033 Total net migration: 44 2032 Total net migration: 66 2031 Total net migration: 60 2030 Total net migration: 60 2029 Total net migration: 48 2028 Total net migration: 103 2027 Total net migration: 255 2026 Total net migration: 250 2025 Total net migration: 249 2024 Total net migration: 243 2023 Total net migration: 194 2022 Total net migration: 197 2021 Total net migration: 493 2020 Total net migration: 336 2019 Total net migration: 44 2018 Total net migration: 3 2017 Total net migration: -24 2041 Total out migration: 722 2040 Total out migration: 721 2039 Total out migration: 720 2038 Total out migration: 721 2037 Total out migration: 714 2036 Total out migration: 708 2035 Total out migration: 703 2034 Total out migration: 697 2033 Total out migration: 694 2032 Total out migration: 689 2031 Total out migration: 683 2030 Total out migration: 679 2029 Total out migration: 676 2028 Total out migration: 668 2027 Total out migration: 639 2026 Total out migration: 610 2025 Total out migration: 580 2024 Total out migration: 552 2023 Total out migration: 529 2022 Total out migration: 505 2021 Total out migration: 440 2020 Total out migration: 395 2019 Total out migration: 391 2018 Total out migration: 391 2017 Total out migration: 399 2041 Total in migration: 744 2040 Total in migration: 741 2039 Total in migration: 737 2038 Total in migration: 731 2037 Total in migration: 781 2036 Total in migration: 772 2035 Total in migration: 755 2034 Total in migration: 754 2033 Total in migration: 738 2032 Total in migration: 755 2031 Total in migration: 743 2030 Total in migration: 739 2029 Total in migration: 725 2028 Total in migration: 771 2027 Total in migration: 894 2026 Total in migration: 860 2025 Total in migration: 829 2024 Total in migration: 795 2023 Total in migration: 723 2022 Total in migration: 702 2021 Total in migration: 933 2020 Total in migration: 731 2019 Total in migration: 435 2018 Total in migration: 394 2017 Total in migration: 374
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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