Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Blackbutt - Shellharbour City Centre

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Blackbutt - Shellharbour City Centre is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,312 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Blackbutt - Shellharbour City CentreForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--204289334330330
Deaths--109158206246290
Natural increase/decrease--951311288440
Net migration--9051,173528284137
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--6924340

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 27 2040 forecast population change: 27 2039 forecast population change: 25 2038 forecast population change: 20 2037 forecast population change: 79 2036 forecast population change: 112 2035 forecast population change: 67 2034 forecast population change: 74 2033 forecast population change: 63 2032 forecast population change: 87 2031 forecast population change: 106 2030 forecast population change: 84 2029 forecast population change: 74 2028 forecast population change: 131 2027 forecast population change: 284 2026 forecast population change: 288 2025 forecast population change: 284 2024 forecast population change: 277 2023 forecast population change: 227 2022 forecast population change: 237 2021 forecast population change: 527 2020 forecast population change: 359 2019 forecast population change: 76 2018 forecast population change: 35 2017 forecast population change: 9
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 5 2040 Natural increase: 6 2039 Natural increase: 8 2038 Natural increase: 10 2037 Natural increase: 11 2036 Natural increase: 13 2035 Natural increase: 15 2034 Natural increase: 17 2033 Natural increase: 19 2032 Natural increase: 21 2031 Natural increase: 23 2030 Natural increase: 24 2029 Natural increase: 26 2028 Natural increase: 28 2027 Natural increase: 27 2026 Natural increase: 27 2025 Natural increase: 26 2024 Natural increase: 26 2023 Natural increase: 26 2022 Natural increase: 26 2021 Natural increase: 21 2020 Natural increase: 18 2019 Natural increase: 18 2018 Natural increase: 19 2017 Natural increase: 19 2041 Total deaths: 61 2040 Total deaths: 60 2039 Total deaths: 58 2038 Total deaths: 57 2037 Total deaths: 55 2036 Total deaths: 53 2035 Total deaths: 51 2034 Total deaths: 49 2033 Total deaths: 47 2032 Total deaths: 46 2031 Total deaths: 44 2030 Total deaths: 42 2029 Total deaths: 42 2028 Total deaths: 40 2027 Total deaths: 38 2026 Total deaths: 36 2025 Total deaths: 34 2024 Total deaths: 32 2023 Total deaths: 29 2022 Total deaths: 27 2021 Total deaths: 24 2020 Total deaths: 22 2019 Total deaths: 21 2018 Total deaths: 21 2017 Total deaths: 20 2041 Total births: 66 2040 Total births: 66 2039 Total births: 66 2038 Total births: 67 2037 Total births: 66 2036 Total births: 66 2035 Total births: 66 2034 Total births: 66 2033 Total births: 66 2032 Total births: 66 2031 Total births: 66 2030 Total births: 67 2029 Total births: 68 2028 Total births: 68 2027 Total births: 65 2026 Total births: 63 2025 Total births: 60 2024 Total births: 57 2023 Total births: 56 2022 Total births: 54 2021 Total births: 46 2020 Total births: 40 2019 Total births: 39 2018 Total births: 39 2017 Total births: 40 2041 Natural increase: 5 2040 Natural increase: 6 2039 Natural increase: 8 2038 Natural increase: 10 2037 Natural increase: 11 2036 Natural increase: 13 2035 Natural increase: 15 2034 Natural increase: 17 2033 Natural increase: 19 2032 Natural increase: 21 2031 Natural increase: 23 2030 Natural increase: 24 2029 Natural increase: 26 2028 Natural increase: 28 2027 Natural increase: 27 2026 Natural increase: 27 2025 Natural increase: 26 2024 Natural increase: 26 2023 Natural increase: 26 2022 Natural increase: 26 2021 Natural increase: 21 2020 Natural increase: 18 2019 Natural increase: 18 2018 Natural increase: 19 2017 Natural increase: 19 2041 Total deaths: 61 2040 Total deaths: 60 2039 Total deaths: 58 2038 Total deaths: 57 2037 Total deaths: 55 2036 Total deaths: 53 2035 Total deaths: 51 2034 Total deaths: 49 2033 Total deaths: 47 2032 Total deaths: 46 2031 Total deaths: 44 2030 Total deaths: 42 2029 Total deaths: 42 2028 Total deaths: 40 2027 Total deaths: 38 2026 Total deaths: 36 2025 Total deaths: 34 2024 Total deaths: 32 2023 Total deaths: 29 2022 Total deaths: 27 2021 Total deaths: 24 2020 Total deaths: 22 2019 Total deaths: 21 2018 Total deaths: 21 2017 Total deaths: 20 2041 Total births: 66 2040 Total births: 66 2039 Total births: 66 2038 Total births: 67 2037 Total births: 66 2036 Total births: 66 2035 Total births: 66 2034 Total births: 66 2033 Total births: 66 2032 Total births: 66 2031 Total births: 66 2030 Total births: 67 2029 Total births: 68 2028 Total births: 68 2027 Total births: 65 2026 Total births: 63 2025 Total births: 60 2024 Total births: 57 2023 Total births: 56 2022 Total births: 54 2021 Total births: 46 2020 Total births: 40 2019 Total births: 39 2018 Total births: 39 2017 Total births: 40
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 22 2040 Total net migration: 21 2039 Total net migration: 17 2038 Total net migration: 10 2037 Total net migration: 67 2036 Total net migration: 65 2035 Total net migration: 52 2034 Total net migration: 57 2033 Total net migration: 44 2032 Total net migration: 66 2031 Total net migration: 60 2030 Total net migration: 60 2029 Total net migration: 48 2028 Total net migration: 104 2027 Total net migration: 257 2026 Total net migration: 259 2025 Total net migration: 258 2024 Total net migration: 251 2023 Total net migration: 201 2022 Total net migration: 204 2021 Total net migration: 500 2020 Total net migration: 341 2019 Total net migration: 57 2018 Total net migration: 16 2017 Total net migration: -10 2041 Total out migration: 733 2040 Total out migration: 732 2039 Total out migration: 731 2038 Total out migration: 732 2037 Total out migration: 725 2036 Total out migration: 719 2035 Total out migration: 714 2034 Total out migration: 708 2033 Total out migration: 705 2032 Total out migration: 700 2031 Total out migration: 695 2030 Total out migration: 690 2029 Total out migration: 688 2028 Total out migration: 680 2027 Total out migration: 651 2026 Total out migration: 620 2025 Total out migration: 589 2024 Total out migration: 560 2023 Total out migration: 536 2022 Total out migration: 512 2021 Total out migration: 446 2020 Total out migration: 401 2019 Total out migration: 395 2018 Total out migration: 393 2017 Total out migration: 399 2041 Total in migration: 755 2040 Total in migration: 752 2039 Total in migration: 748 2038 Total in migration: 742 2037 Total in migration: 793 2036 Total in migration: 783 2035 Total in migration: 766 2034 Total in migration: 765 2033 Total in migration: 749 2032 Total in migration: 766 2031 Total in migration: 754 2030 Total in migration: 750 2029 Total in migration: 736 2028 Total in migration: 783 2027 Total in migration: 908 2026 Total in migration: 879 2025 Total in migration: 847 2024 Total in migration: 811 2023 Total in migration: 737 2022 Total in migration: 715 2021 Total in migration: 946 2020 Total in migration: 742 2019 Total in migration: 452 2018 Total in migration: 409 2017 Total in migration: 389 2041 Total net migration: 22 2040 Total net migration: 21 2039 Total net migration: 17 2038 Total net migration: 10 2037 Total net migration: 67 2036 Total net migration: 65 2035 Total net migration: 52 2034 Total net migration: 57 2033 Total net migration: 44 2032 Total net migration: 66 2031 Total net migration: 60 2030 Total net migration: 60 2029 Total net migration: 48 2028 Total net migration: 104 2027 Total net migration: 257 2026 Total net migration: 259 2025 Total net migration: 258 2024 Total net migration: 251 2023 Total net migration: 201 2022 Total net migration: 204 2021 Total net migration: 500 2020 Total net migration: 341 2019 Total net migration: 57 2018 Total net migration: 16 2017 Total net migration: -10 2041 Total out migration: 733 2040 Total out migration: 732 2039 Total out migration: 731 2038 Total out migration: 732 2037 Total out migration: 725 2036 Total out migration: 719 2035 Total out migration: 714 2034 Total out migration: 708 2033 Total out migration: 705 2032 Total out migration: 700 2031 Total out migration: 695 2030 Total out migration: 690 2029 Total out migration: 688 2028 Total out migration: 680 2027 Total out migration: 651 2026 Total out migration: 620 2025 Total out migration: 589 2024 Total out migration: 560 2023 Total out migration: 536 2022 Total out migration: 512 2021 Total out migration: 446 2020 Total out migration: 401 2019 Total out migration: 395 2018 Total out migration: 393 2017 Total out migration: 399 2041 Total in migration: 755 2040 Total in migration: 752 2039 Total in migration: 748 2038 Total in migration: 742 2037 Total in migration: 793 2036 Total in migration: 783 2035 Total in migration: 766 2034 Total in migration: 765 2033 Total in migration: 749 2032 Total in migration: 766 2031 Total in migration: 754 2030 Total in migration: 750 2029 Total in migration: 736 2028 Total in migration: 783 2027 Total in migration: 908 2026 Total in migration: 879 2025 Total in migration: 847 2024 Total in migration: 811 2023 Total in migration: 737 2022 Total in migration: 715 2021 Total in migration: 946 2020 Total in migration: 742 2019 Total in migration: 452 2018 Total in migration: 409 2017 Total in migration: 389
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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