Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shellharbour City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shellharbour City is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 6,061 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shellharbour CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--4,6734,9615,1615,3835,621
Deaths--1,9442,3412,7793,1713,505
Natural increase/decrease--2,7302,6202,3822,2122,117
Net migration--2,5653,1631,6591,5331,554
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--1842731602260

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 657 2040 forecast population change: 730 2039 forecast population change: 758 2038 forecast population change: 752 2037 forecast population change: 781 2036 forecast population change: 925 2035 forecast population change: 697 2034 forecast population change: 772 2033 forecast population change: 794 2032 forecast population change: 788 2031 forecast population change: 927 2030 forecast population change: 775 2029 forecast population change: 721 2028 forecast population change: 757 2027 forecast population change: 1,028 2026 forecast population change: 1,074 2025 forecast population change: 1,113 2024 forecast population change: 1,142 2023 forecast population change: 1,185 2022 forecast population change: 1,548 2021 forecast population change: 1,492 2020 forecast population change: 1,383 2019 forecast population change: 812 2018 forecast population change: 1,091 2017 forecast population change: 706
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 422 2040 Natural increase: 423 2039 Natural increase: 424 2038 Natural increase: 423 2037 Natural increase: 424 2036 Natural increase: 431 2035 Natural increase: 437 2034 Natural increase: 443 2033 Natural increase: 448 2032 Natural increase: 453 2031 Natural increase: 460 2030 Natural increase: 466 2029 Natural increase: 476 2028 Natural increase: 487 2027 Natural increase: 494 2026 Natural increase: 504 2025 Natural increase: 515 2024 Natural increase: 525 2023 Natural increase: 535 2022 Natural increase: 541 2021 Natural increase: 541 2020 Natural increase: 541 2019 Natural increase: 547 2018 Natural increase: 549 2017 Natural increase: 551 2041 Total deaths: 723 2040 Total deaths: 712 2039 Total deaths: 701 2038 Total deaths: 691 2037 Total deaths: 678 2036 Total deaths: 664 2035 Total deaths: 650 2034 Total deaths: 634 2033 Total deaths: 619 2032 Total deaths: 604 2031 Total deaths: 588 2030 Total deaths: 573 2029 Total deaths: 556 2028 Total deaths: 539 2027 Total deaths: 522 2026 Total deaths: 505 2025 Total deaths: 486 2024 Total deaths: 468 2023 Total deaths: 450 2022 Total deaths: 432 2021 Total deaths: 416 2020 Total deaths: 401 2019 Total deaths: 388 2018 Total deaths: 374 2017 Total deaths: 364 2041 Total births: 1,145 2040 Total births: 1,135 2039 Total births: 1,124 2038 Total births: 1,114 2037 Total births: 1,103 2036 Total births: 1,095 2035 Total births: 1,087 2034 Total births: 1,077 2033 Total births: 1,067 2032 Total births: 1,057 2031 Total births: 1,048 2030 Total births: 1,039 2029 Total births: 1,032 2028 Total births: 1,026 2027 Total births: 1,016 2026 Total births: 1,009 2025 Total births: 1,001 2024 Total births: 993 2023 Total births: 985 2022 Total births: 973 2021 Total births: 957 2020 Total births: 943 2019 Total births: 936 2018 Total births: 924 2017 Total births: 914 2041 Natural increase: 422 2040 Natural increase: 423 2039 Natural increase: 424 2038 Natural increase: 423 2037 Natural increase: 424 2036 Natural increase: 431 2035 Natural increase: 437 2034 Natural increase: 443 2033 Natural increase: 448 2032 Natural increase: 453 2031 Natural increase: 460 2030 Natural increase: 466 2029 Natural increase: 476 2028 Natural increase: 487 2027 Natural increase: 494 2026 Natural increase: 504 2025 Natural increase: 515 2024 Natural increase: 525 2023 Natural increase: 535 2022 Natural increase: 541 2021 Natural increase: 541 2020 Natural increase: 541 2019 Natural increase: 547 2018 Natural increase: 549 2017 Natural increase: 551 2041 Total deaths: 723 2040 Total deaths: 712 2039 Total deaths: 701 2038 Total deaths: 691 2037 Total deaths: 678 2036 Total deaths: 664 2035 Total deaths: 650 2034 Total deaths: 634 2033 Total deaths: 619 2032 Total deaths: 604 2031 Total deaths: 588 2030 Total deaths: 573 2029 Total deaths: 556 2028 Total deaths: 539 2027 Total deaths: 522 2026 Total deaths: 505 2025 Total deaths: 486 2024 Total deaths: 468 2023 Total deaths: 450 2022 Total deaths: 432 2021 Total deaths: 416 2020 Total deaths: 401 2019 Total deaths: 388 2018 Total deaths: 374 2017 Total deaths: 364 2041 Total births: 1,145 2040 Total births: 1,135 2039 Total births: 1,124 2038 Total births: 1,114 2037 Total births: 1,103 2036 Total births: 1,095 2035 Total births: 1,087 2034 Total births: 1,077 2033 Total births: 1,067 2032 Total births: 1,057 2031 Total births: 1,048 2030 Total births: 1,039 2029 Total births: 1,032 2028 Total births: 1,026 2027 Total births: 1,016 2026 Total births: 1,009 2025 Total births: 1,001 2024 Total births: 993 2023 Total births: 985 2022 Total births: 973 2021 Total births: 957 2020 Total births: 943 2019 Total births: 936 2018 Total births: 924 2017 Total births: 914
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 233 2040 Total net migration: 305 2039 Total net migration: 333 2038 Total net migration: 327 2037 Total net migration: 355 2036 Total net migration: 267 2035 Total net migration: 259 2034 Total net migration: 328 2033 Total net migration: 345 2032 Total net migration: 333 2031 Total net migration: 306 2030 Total net migration: 308 2029 Total net migration: 244 2028 Total net migration: 269 2027 Total net migration: 533 2026 Total net migration: 533 2025 Total net migration: 597 2024 Total net migration: 616 2023 Total net migration: 648 2022 Total net migration: 769 2021 Total net migration: 913 2020 Total net migration: 706 2019 Total net migration: 264 2018 Total net migration: 541 2017 Total net migration: 141 2041 Total out migration: 8,804 2040 Total out migration: 8,738 2039 Total out migration: 8,671 2038 Total out migration: 8,607 2037 Total out migration: 8,533 2036 Total out migration: 8,473 2035 Total out migration: 8,415 2034 Total out migration: 8,344 2033 Total out migration: 8,276 2032 Total out migration: 8,207 2031 Total out migration: 8,144 2030 Total out migration: 8,082 2029 Total out migration: 8,024 2028 Total out migration: 7,972 2027 Total out migration: 7,885 2026 Total out migration: 7,805 2025 Total out migration: 7,716 2024 Total out migration: 7,630 2023 Total out migration: 7,542 2022 Total out migration: 7,427 2021 Total out migration: 7,288 2020 Total out migration: 7,183 2019 Total out migration: 7,153 2018 Total out migration: 7,081 2017 Total out migration: 7,061 2041 Total in migration: 9,037 2040 Total in migration: 9,044 2039 Total in migration: 9,004 2038 Total in migration: 8,935 2037 Total in migration: 8,888 2036 Total in migration: 8,740 2035 Total in migration: 8,674 2034 Total in migration: 8,672 2033 Total in migration: 8,621 2032 Total in migration: 8,540 2031 Total in migration: 8,450 2030 Total in migration: 8,389 2029 Total in migration: 8,268 2028 Total in migration: 8,241 2027 Total in migration: 8,418 2026 Total in migration: 8,337 2025 Total in migration: 8,313 2024 Total in migration: 8,246 2023 Total in migration: 8,191 2022 Total in migration: 8,195 2021 Total in migration: 8,201 2020 Total in migration: 7,889 2019 Total in migration: 7,417 2018 Total in migration: 7,622 2017 Total in migration: 7,202 2041 Total net migration: 233 2040 Total net migration: 305 2039 Total net migration: 333 2038 Total net migration: 327 2037 Total net migration: 355 2036 Total net migration: 267 2035 Total net migration: 259 2034 Total net migration: 328 2033 Total net migration: 345 2032 Total net migration: 333 2031 Total net migration: 306 2030 Total net migration: 308 2029 Total net migration: 244 2028 Total net migration: 269 2027 Total net migration: 533 2026 Total net migration: 533 2025 Total net migration: 597 2024 Total net migration: 616 2023 Total net migration: 648 2022 Total net migration: 769 2021 Total net migration: 913 2020 Total net migration: 706 2019 Total net migration: 264 2018 Total net migration: 541 2017 Total net migration: 141 2041 Total out migration: 8,804 2040 Total out migration: 8,738 2039 Total out migration: 8,671 2038 Total out migration: 8,607 2037 Total out migration: 8,533 2036 Total out migration: 8,473 2035 Total out migration: 8,415 2034 Total out migration: 8,344 2033 Total out migration: 8,276 2032 Total out migration: 8,207 2031 Total out migration: 8,144 2030 Total out migration: 8,082 2029 Total out migration: 8,024 2028 Total out migration: 7,972 2027 Total out migration: 7,885 2026 Total out migration: 7,805 2025 Total out migration: 7,716 2024 Total out migration: 7,630 2023 Total out migration: 7,542 2022 Total out migration: 7,427 2021 Total out migration: 7,288 2020 Total out migration: 7,183 2019 Total out migration: 7,153 2018 Total out migration: 7,081 2017 Total out migration: 7,061 2041 Total in migration: 9,037 2040 Total in migration: 9,044 2039 Total in migration: 9,004 2038 Total in migration: 8,935 2037 Total in migration: 8,888 2036 Total in migration: 8,740 2035 Total in migration: 8,674 2034 Total in migration: 8,672 2033 Total in migration: 8,621 2032 Total in migration: 8,540 2031 Total in migration: 8,450 2030 Total in migration: 8,389 2029 Total in migration: 8,268 2028 Total in migration: 8,241 2027 Total in migration: 8,418 2026 Total in migration: 8,337 2025 Total in migration: 8,313 2024 Total in migration: 8,246 2023 Total in migration: 8,191 2022 Total in migration: 8,195 2021 Total in migration: 8,201 2020 Total in migration: 7,889 2019 Total in migration: 7,417 2018 Total in migration: 7,622 2017 Total in migration: 7,202
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2018.
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