Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Shellharbour City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shellharbour City is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 6,340 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shellharbour CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--4,6694,9695,1955,4365,683
Deaths--1,9462,3492,7963,1993,541
Natural increase/decrease--2,7232,6202,4002,2382,143
Net migration--2,5483,4421,9651,7521,683
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--1842731602260

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 682 2040 forecast population change: 755 2039 forecast population change: 783 2038 forecast population change: 791 2037 forecast population change: 820 2036 forecast population change: 961 2035 forecast population change: 746 2034 forecast population change: 834 2033 forecast population change: 844 2032 forecast population change: 837 2031 forecast population change: 997 2030 forecast population change: 831 2029 forecast population change: 778 2028 forecast population change: 827 2027 forecast population change: 1,097 2026 forecast population change: 1,106 2025 forecast population change: 1,155 2024 forecast population change: 1,216 2023 forecast population change: 1,251 2022 forecast population change: 1,611 2021 forecast population change: 1,562 2020 forecast population change: 1,360 2019 forecast population change: 667 2018 forecast population change: 1,085 2017 forecast population change: 786
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 427 2040 Natural increase: 428 2039 Natural increase: 429 2038 Natural increase: 428 2037 Natural increase: 430 2036 Natural increase: 436 2035 Natural increase: 443 2034 Natural increase: 448 2033 Natural increase: 453 2032 Natural increase: 458 2031 Natural increase: 464 2030 Natural increase: 470 2029 Natural increase: 480 2028 Natural increase: 490 2027 Natural increase: 496 2026 Natural increase: 506 2025 Natural increase: 516 2024 Natural increase: 525 2023 Natural increase: 534 2022 Natural increase: 538 2021 Natural increase: 536 2020 Natural increase: 537 2019 Natural increase: 548 2018 Natural increase: 551 2017 Natural increase: 551 2041 Total deaths: 731 2040 Total deaths: 719 2039 Total deaths: 708 2038 Total deaths: 698 2037 Total deaths: 685 2036 Total deaths: 670 2035 Total deaths: 656 2034 Total deaths: 640 2033 Total deaths: 624 2032 Total deaths: 609 2031 Total deaths: 593 2030 Total deaths: 577 2029 Total deaths: 560 2028 Total deaths: 542 2027 Total deaths: 524 2026 Total deaths: 507 2025 Total deaths: 488 2024 Total deaths: 470 2023 Total deaths: 451 2022 Total deaths: 433 2021 Total deaths: 417 2020 Total deaths: 402 2019 Total deaths: 389 2018 Total deaths: 375 2017 Total deaths: 364 2041 Total births: 1,158 2040 Total births: 1,148 2039 Total births: 1,137 2038 Total births: 1,126 2037 Total births: 1,115 2036 Total births: 1,107 2035 Total births: 1,098 2034 Total births: 1,088 2033 Total births: 1,077 2032 Total births: 1,067 2031 Total births: 1,057 2030 Total births: 1,047 2029 Total births: 1,039 2028 Total births: 1,032 2027 Total births: 1,020 2026 Total births: 1,013 2025 Total births: 1,004 2024 Total births: 995 2023 Total births: 985 2022 Total births: 971 2021 Total births: 953 2020 Total births: 939 2019 Total births: 937 2018 Total births: 925 2017 Total births: 914 2041 Natural increase: 427 2040 Natural increase: 428 2039 Natural increase: 429 2038 Natural increase: 428 2037 Natural increase: 430 2036 Natural increase: 436 2035 Natural increase: 443 2034 Natural increase: 448 2033 Natural increase: 453 2032 Natural increase: 458 2031 Natural increase: 464 2030 Natural increase: 470 2029 Natural increase: 480 2028 Natural increase: 490 2027 Natural increase: 496 2026 Natural increase: 506 2025 Natural increase: 516 2024 Natural increase: 525 2023 Natural increase: 534 2022 Natural increase: 538 2021 Natural increase: 536 2020 Natural increase: 537 2019 Natural increase: 548 2018 Natural increase: 551 2017 Natural increase: 551 2041 Total deaths: 731 2040 Total deaths: 719 2039 Total deaths: 708 2038 Total deaths: 698 2037 Total deaths: 685 2036 Total deaths: 670 2035 Total deaths: 656 2034 Total deaths: 640 2033 Total deaths: 624 2032 Total deaths: 609 2031 Total deaths: 593 2030 Total deaths: 577 2029 Total deaths: 560 2028 Total deaths: 542 2027 Total deaths: 524 2026 Total deaths: 507 2025 Total deaths: 488 2024 Total deaths: 470 2023 Total deaths: 451 2022 Total deaths: 433 2021 Total deaths: 417 2020 Total deaths: 402 2019 Total deaths: 389 2018 Total deaths: 375 2017 Total deaths: 364 2041 Total births: 1,158 2040 Total births: 1,148 2039 Total births: 1,137 2038 Total births: 1,126 2037 Total births: 1,115 2036 Total births: 1,107 2035 Total births: 1,098 2034 Total births: 1,088 2033 Total births: 1,077 2032 Total births: 1,067 2031 Total births: 1,057 2030 Total births: 1,047 2029 Total births: 1,039 2028 Total births: 1,032 2027 Total births: 1,020 2026 Total births: 1,013 2025 Total births: 1,004 2024 Total births: 995 2023 Total births: 985 2022 Total births: 971 2021 Total births: 953 2020 Total births: 939 2019 Total births: 937 2018 Total births: 925 2017 Total births: 914
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 253 2040 Total net migration: 325 2039 Total net migration: 353 2038 Total net migration: 362 2037 Total net migration: 390 2036 Total net migration: 297 2035 Total net migration: 303 2034 Total net migration: 385 2033 Total net migration: 390 2032 Total net migration: 378 2031 Total net migration: 372 2030 Total net migration: 360 2029 Total net migration: 297 2028 Total net migration: 336 2027 Total net migration: 600 2026 Total net migration: 563 2025 Total net migration: 638 2024 Total net migration: 690 2023 Total net migration: 716 2022 Total net migration: 835 2021 Total net migration: 988 2020 Total net migration: 688 2019 Total net migration: 118 2018 Total net migration: 533 2017 Total net migration: 221 2041 Total out migration: 8,914 2040 Total out migration: 8,846 2039 Total out migration: 8,777 2038 Total out migration: 8,709 2037 Total out migration: 8,631 2036 Total out migration: 8,568 2035 Total out migration: 8,505 2034 Total out migration: 8,427 2033 Total out migration: 8,354 2032 Total out migration: 8,280 2031 Total out migration: 8,210 2030 Total out migration: 8,142 2029 Total out migration: 8,078 2028 Total out migration: 8,017 2027 Total out migration: 7,922 2026 Total out migration: 7,839 2025 Total out migration: 7,746 2024 Total out migration: 7,651 2023 Total out migration: 7,556 2022 Total out migration: 7,433 2021 Total out migration: 7,286 2020 Total out migration: 7,182 2019 Total out migration: 7,166 2018 Total out migration: 7,093 2017 Total out migration: 7,061 2041 Total in migration: 9,167 2040 Total in migration: 9,172 2039 Total in migration: 9,130 2038 Total in migration: 9,071 2037 Total in migration: 9,021 2036 Total in migration: 8,865 2035 Total in migration: 8,807 2034 Total in migration: 8,812 2033 Total in migration: 8,744 2032 Total in migration: 8,658 2031 Total in migration: 8,582 2030 Total in migration: 8,502 2029 Total in migration: 8,375 2028 Total in migration: 8,353 2027 Total in migration: 8,522 2026 Total in migration: 8,402 2025 Total in migration: 8,384 2024 Total in migration: 8,341 2023 Total in migration: 8,272 2022 Total in migration: 8,267 2021 Total in migration: 8,274 2020 Total in migration: 7,870 2019 Total in migration: 7,283 2018 Total in migration: 7,626 2017 Total in migration: 7,282 2041 Total net migration: 253 2040 Total net migration: 325 2039 Total net migration: 353 2038 Total net migration: 362 2037 Total net migration: 390 2036 Total net migration: 297 2035 Total net migration: 303 2034 Total net migration: 385 2033 Total net migration: 390 2032 Total net migration: 378 2031 Total net migration: 372 2030 Total net migration: 360 2029 Total net migration: 297 2028 Total net migration: 336 2027 Total net migration: 600 2026 Total net migration: 563 2025 Total net migration: 638 2024 Total net migration: 690 2023 Total net migration: 716 2022 Total net migration: 835 2021 Total net migration: 988 2020 Total net migration: 688 2019 Total net migration: 118 2018 Total net migration: 533 2017 Total net migration: 221 2041 Total out migration: 8,914 2040 Total out migration: 8,846 2039 Total out migration: 8,777 2038 Total out migration: 8,709 2037 Total out migration: 8,631 2036 Total out migration: 8,568 2035 Total out migration: 8,505 2034 Total out migration: 8,427 2033 Total out migration: 8,354 2032 Total out migration: 8,280 2031 Total out migration: 8,210 2030 Total out migration: 8,142 2029 Total out migration: 8,078 2028 Total out migration: 8,017 2027 Total out migration: 7,922 2026 Total out migration: 7,839 2025 Total out migration: 7,746 2024 Total out migration: 7,651 2023 Total out migration: 7,556 2022 Total out migration: 7,433 2021 Total out migration: 7,286 2020 Total out migration: 7,182 2019 Total out migration: 7,166 2018 Total out migration: 7,093 2017 Total out migration: 7,061 2041 Total in migration: 9,167 2040 Total in migration: 9,172 2039 Total in migration: 9,130 2038 Total in migration: 9,071 2037 Total in migration: 9,021 2036 Total in migration: 8,865 2035 Total in migration: 8,807 2034 Total in migration: 8,812 2033 Total in migration: 8,744 2032 Total in migration: 8,658 2031 Total in migration: 8,582 2030 Total in migration: 8,502 2029 Total in migration: 8,375 2028 Total in migration: 8,353 2027 Total in migration: 8,522 2026 Total in migration: 8,402 2025 Total in migration: 8,384 2024 Total in migration: 8,341 2023 Total in migration: 8,272 2022 Total in migration: 8,267 2021 Total in migration: 8,274 2020 Total in migration: 7,870 2019 Total in migration: 7,283 2018 Total in migration: 7,626 2017 Total in migration: 7,282
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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