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City of SalisburyPopulation forecast

Burton - Non Urban West

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Burton - Non Urban West indicate a 27.9% decrease in population under working age, a 48.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.4% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Salisbury is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Burton - Non Urban West - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46367.44805.71,0947.3+459
5 to 96828.04565.51,0176.8+336
10 to 146507.64825.88815.8+231
15 to 195967.06778.19296.2+334
20 to 245065.97809.31,1587.7+652
25 to 296417.56067.31,3168.7+674
30 to 346938.15616.71,4649.7+771
35 to 396998.25897.01,3549.0+655
40 to 445656.65646.81,0146.7+449
45 to 495075.95416.58645.7+356
50 to 545025.94765.78065.3+304
55 to 595025.94114.96584.4+156
60 to 644965.84215.06044.0+109
65 to 693373.94505.44853.2+148
70 to 741872.23664.44112.7+224
75 to 791201.42833.44222.8+302
80 to 841131.31531.83242.2+211
85 and over1261.5590.72641.8+138
Total persons8,556100.08,356100.015,066100.0+6,510
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Burton - Non Urban West was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 273 and account for 9.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 780 persons.

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