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City of SalisburyPopulation forecast

City of Salisbury

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Salisbury indicate a 5.3% increase in population under working age, a 22.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Salisbury is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Salisbury - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 410,0907.210,2536.810,1716.6+81
5 to 99,5966.89,9056.69,7056.3+109
10 to 148,4066.09,4336.39,3826.1+976
15 to 198,8996.39,7466.59,7576.4+858
20 to 2410,6797.610,2926.910,5696.9-110
25 to 2910,7907.710,8777.310,9337.1+142
30 to 3411,3788.110,6947.110,4476.8-931
35 to 399,6166.810,1296.810,0386.5+422
40 to 449,0186.410,0836.79,7876.4+769
45 to 498,9456.39,3676.29,5086.2+562
50 to 548,9216.38,8485.99,3136.1+392
55 to 598,1375.88,5045.78,6575.6+521
60 to 647,0925.08,1415.48,0565.2+964
65 to 696,4224.67,1774.87,4724.9+1,050
70 to 744,7523.46,0304.06,8614.5+2,109
75 to 793,6352.64,9563.35,6783.7+2,043
80 to 842,3771.73,1842.14,1262.7+1,749
85 and over2,1521.52,3341.63,0602.0+908
Total persons140,907100.0149,953100.0153,520100.0+12,613
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Salisbury was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 1,320 and account for 3.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 10,877 persons.

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