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City of SalisburyPopulation forecast

Parafield Gardens - Green Fields

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Parafield Gardens - Green Fields indicate a 3.6% increase in population under working age, a 23.10% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Parafield Gardens - Green Fields is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Parafield Gardens - Green Fields - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,3237.61,2596.81,1616.3-162
5 to 91,2547.21,2646.81,1606.3-94
10 to 141,0646.11,2496.71,1546.3+90
15 to 191,1566.61,3017.01,2466.7+90
20 to 241,2567.21,2606.81,2816.9+25
25 to 291,2297.01,2987.01,2726.9+43
30 to 341,5078.61,2606.81,1926.5-315
35 to 391,1766.71,2176.51,1706.3-6
40 to 441,0906.21,3497.21,2086.5+118
45 to 491,0836.21,2326.61,1936.5+109
50 to 541,1926.81,1096.01,1946.5+2
55 to 591,0596.11,0365.61,0725.8+13
60 to 648384.81,0505.69645.2+126
65 to 697664.48994.88854.8+119
70 to 745733.37053.88564.6+283
75 to 794172.45653.06773.7+260
80 to 842761.63451.94552.5+179
85 and over2021.22361.33231.7+120
Total persons17,462100.018,635100.018,461100.0+999
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Parafield Gardens - Green Fields was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 259 and account for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,349 persons.

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