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City of SalisburyPopulation forecast

Para Vista - Valley View - Walkley Heights

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Para Vista - Valley View - Walkley Heights indicate a 1.4% decrease in population under working age, a 5.1% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 7.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Para Vista - Valley View - Walkley Heights is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Para Vista - Valley View - Walkley Heights - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45766.55415.95796.0+3
5 to 95906.65486.05816.0-9
10 to 145215.95756.35836.0+62
15 to 195606.35916.45946.1+34
20 to 244995.65566.15956.2+96
25 to 295235.95616.15906.1+67
30 to 345336.05896.46286.5+95
35 to 396347.16316.96686.9+34
40 to 446897.86336.96767.0-13
45 to 496066.86316.96516.7+45
50 to 545055.76146.75986.2+93
55 to 594364.95606.15886.1+152
60 to 644495.14985.45776.0+128
65 to 695416.14294.75185.4-23
70 to 744294.83914.34344.5+5
75 to 793804.33924.33443.6-36
80 to 842152.42702.92752.8+60
85 and over1892.11822.01962.0+7
Total persons8,875100.09,189100.09,673100.0+798
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Para Vista - Valley View - Walkley Heights was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 55 to 59, which is expected to increase by 124 and account for 6.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 633 persons.

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