City of SalisburyPopulation forecast
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Para Vista - Valley View - Walkley Heights

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Para Vista - Valley View - Walkley Heights indicate a 1.4% decrease in population under working age, a 5.1% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 7.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Salisbury is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Para Vista - Valley View - Walkley Heights - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45766.55415.95796.0+3
5 to 95906.65486.05816.0-9
10 to 145215.95756.35836.0+62
15 to 195606.35916.45946.1+34
20 to 244995.65566.15956.2+96
25 to 295235.95616.15906.1+67
30 to 345336.05896.46286.5+95
35 to 396347.16316.96686.9+34
40 to 446897.86336.96767.0-13
45 to 496066.86316.96516.7+45
50 to 545055.76146.75986.2+93
55 to 594364.95606.15886.1+152
60 to 644495.14985.45776.0+128
65 to 695416.14294.75185.4-23
70 to 744294.83914.34344.5+5
75 to 793804.33924.33443.6-36
80 to 842152.42702.92752.8+60
85 and over1892.11822.01962.0+7
Total persons8,875100.09,189100.09,673100.0+798

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 196 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 275 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 344 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 434 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 518 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 577 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 588 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 598 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 651 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 676 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 668 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 628 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 590 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 595 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 594 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 583 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 581 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 579 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 182 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 270 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 392 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 391 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 429 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 498 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 560 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 614 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 631 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 633 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 631 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 589 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 561 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 556 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 591 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 575 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 548 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 541 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 189 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 215 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 380 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 429 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 541 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 449 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 436 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 505 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 606 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 689 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 634 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 533 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 523 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 499 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 560 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 521 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 590 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 576
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: -48 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 89 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 79 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -16 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 37 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 38 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 33 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -7 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -38 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -112 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 49 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -56 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 38 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -42 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -35
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Para Vista - Valley View - Walkley Heights was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 55 to 59, which is expected to increase by 124 and account for 6.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 633 persons.

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