City of SalisburyPopulation forecast
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Para Hills West - Parafield - Salisbury South

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Para Hills West - Parafield - Salisbury South indicate a 8.5% increase in population under working age, a 28.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Salisbury is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Para Hills West - Parafield - Salisbury South - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42066.02346.32486.5+42
5 to 92336.82246.12326.0-1
10 to 141715.02045.52165.6+45
15 to 191664.92266.12245.8+58
20 to 242457.22587.02737.1+27
25 to 293048.92857.73037.9-1
30 to 342858.42737.42777.2-8
35 to 392066.02667.22636.9+58
40 to 442437.12446.62436.30
45 to 491805.31995.42275.9+46
50 to 542196.42216.02235.8+4
55 to 591865.51865.01985.2+12
60 to 642266.61885.11925.0-34
65 to 691895.61584.31624.2-27
70 to 741273.71834.91664.3+39
75 to 791103.21564.21443.8+34
80 to 84401.21022.81333.5+93
85 and over692.0902.41072.8+39
Total persons3,407100.03,695100.03,832100.0+425

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 107 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 144 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 166 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 162 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 192 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 198 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 223 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 227 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 243 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 263 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 277 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 303 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 273 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 224 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 216 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 232 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 248 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 156 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 183 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 158 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 188 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 186 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 221 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 199 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 244 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 266 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 273 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 285 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 258 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 226 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 204 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 224 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 234 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 69 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 40 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 110 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 127 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 189 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 226 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 186 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 219 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 180 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 243 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 206 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 285 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 304 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 245 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 166 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 171 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 233 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 206
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: -12 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -17 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 27 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 61 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -31 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -38 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -12 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 28
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Para Hills West - Parafield - Salisbury South was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 61 and account for 2.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 285 persons.

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