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City of SalisburyPopulation forecast

Burton - Non Urban West

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Burton - Non Urban West indicate a 10.0% increase in population under working age, a 57.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Burton - Non Urban West is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Burton - Non Urban West - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46998.57828.48458.1+146
5 to 96828.37367.97697.4+87
10 to 145686.96256.76856.6+117
15 to 194765.86026.46506.3+175
20 to 246307.76256.76806.5+50
25 to 297088.76967.47757.4+67
30 to 347148.77247.87717.4+58
35 to 396578.06897.47287.0+71
40 to 444916.06567.06956.7+204
45 to 495456.76046.56496.2+104
50 to 545006.15065.46145.9+113
55 to 594755.85205.65725.5+97
60 to 643274.04725.14944.7+166
65 to 692593.24004.34414.2+182
70 to 741311.62813.03813.7+249
75 to 791401.72112.33032.9+163
80 to 84720.91101.21901.8+118
85 and over1021.31061.11611.5+59
Total persons8,177100.09,344100.010,402100.0+2,226
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Burton - Non Urban West was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 164 and account for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 782 persons.

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