City of SalisburyPopulation forecast
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Burton - Non Urban West

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Burton - Non Urban West is 'Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Salisbury is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Burton - Non Urban West - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)6998.57828.48458.1+146
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)91311.299310.61,05110.1+138
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)6227.67327.87937.6+171
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)82010.08639.29409.0+120
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,42217.41,42015.21,54614.9+124
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)1,69420.71,94820.82,07219.9+379
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)97511.91,02611.01,18611.4+211
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)5867.28729.39359.0+348
Seniors (70 to 84)3434.26026.48748.4+530
Elderly aged (85 and over)1021.31061.11611.5+59
Total persons8,177100.09,344100.010,402100.0+2,226

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 161 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 874 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 935 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 1,186 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 2,072 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 1,546 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 940 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 793 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 1,051 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 845 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 602 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 872 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 1,026 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 1,948 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 1,420 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 863 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 732 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 993 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 782 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 102 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 343 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 586 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 975 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 1,694 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 1,422 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 820 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 622 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 913 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 699
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 55 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 272 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 63 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 124 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 125 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 78 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 61 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 63 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 258 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 286 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 254 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: -1 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 110 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 83
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In Burton - Non Urban West between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 273 (12.2%), and will comprise 26.8% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 549 (53.2%) and comprise 16.9% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 1,948 persons.

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