City of SalisburyPopulation forecast
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City of Salisbury

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in the City of Salisbury is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Salisbury is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Salisbury - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)10,0907.210,2536.810,1716.6+81
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)13,0269.213,7149.113,4728.8+445
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)10,1307.211,3547.611,3677.4+1,237
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)14,42310.214,3089.514,5749.5+151
Young workforce (25 to 34)22,16915.721,57114.421,38013.9-789
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)27,57919.629,57919.729,33219.1+1,753
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)17,05812.117,35211.617,97111.7+913
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)13,5149.615,31810.215,52810.1+2,014
Seniors (70 to 84)10,7657.614,1709.416,66610.9+5,901
Elderly aged (85 and over)2,1521.52,3341.63,0602.0+908
Total persons140,907100.0149,953100.0153,520100.0+12,613

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 3,060 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 16,666 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 15,528 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 17,971 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 29,332 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 21,380 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 14,574 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 11,367 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 13,472 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 10,171 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,334 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 14,170 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 15,318 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 17,352 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 29,579 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 21,571 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 14,308 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 11,354 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 13,714 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 10,253 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,152 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 10,765 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 13,514 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 17,058 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 27,579 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 22,169 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 14,423 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 10,130 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 13,026 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 10,090
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 726 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 2,496 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 209 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 619 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: -247 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: -191 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 265 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: -242 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -82 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 182 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 3,405 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,804 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 294 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 2,000 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: -598 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: -115 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 1,224 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 687 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 163
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In the City of Salisbury between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 2,075 (6.2%), and will comprise 23.6% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 5,391 (20.4%) and comprise 21.2% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 29,579 persons.

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