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City of SalisburyPopulation forecast

Mawson Lakes

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Mawson Lakes indicate a 1.1% decrease in population under working age, a 86.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.7% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Mawson Lakes is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mawson Lakes - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0988.01,0217.38586.3-240
5 to 99456.99346.77555.6-189
10 to 146925.07505.36785.0-15
15 to 198496.28486.07965.9-53
20 to 241,47210.71,0567.51,0077.4-465
25 to 291,51311.01,1548.21,0647.9-449
30 to 341,46210.61,2008.61,0187.5-444
35 to 391,2779.31,0927.89206.8-357
40 to 449627.09957.18526.3-109
45 to 498956.51,0297.38936.6-2
50 to 547105.29466.79116.7+200
55 to 596064.48646.28976.6+291
60 to 644923.66754.87865.8+294
65 to 693162.35173.76644.9+348
70 to 741891.44032.95213.9+333
75 to 791040.82671.94063.0+302
80 to 84780.61581.12852.1+207
85 and over950.71140.82121.6+117
Total persons13,754100.014,020100.013,524100.0-230
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Mawson Lakes was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 11.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 55 to 59, which is expected to increase by 257 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,200 persons.

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