City of SalisburyPopulation forecast
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Gulfview Heights

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Gulfview Heights indicate a 9.0% increase in population under working age, a 74.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.8% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Salisbury is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Gulfview Heights - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41704.62356.22355.9+65
5 to 92536.92556.72636.7+9
10 to 142546.92486.52867.2+32
15 to 193148.52917.62977.5-17
20 to 243068.32566.72576.5-50
25 to 291905.22215.82175.5+27
30 to 342055.62085.52035.1-3
35 to 392195.92125.62275.8+8
40 to 442346.32506.62586.5+24
45 to 493078.32466.52536.4-53
50 to 542917.92255.92416.1-49
55 to 593108.42516.62205.6-90
60 to 642506.82356.21995.0-50
65 to 691764.82576.72255.7+49
70 to 74892.41965.11954.9+106
75 to 79511.41313.41864.7+135
80 to 84421.1621.61203.0+78
85 and over320.9330.9641.6+32
Total persons3,692100.03,811100.03,946100.0+254

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 120 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 186 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 195 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 225 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 199 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 220 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 241 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 253 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 258 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 227 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 203 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 217 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 257 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 297 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 286 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 263 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 235 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 62 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 196 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 257 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 235 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 251 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 225 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 246 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 250 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 212 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 208 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 221 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 256 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 291 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 248 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 255 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 235 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 32 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 42 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 51 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 89 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 176 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 250 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 310 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 291 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 307 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 234 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 219 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 205 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 190 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 306 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 314 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 254 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 253 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 170
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 59 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 55 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -32 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -36 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -30 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 38 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 108 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 81 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -59 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -66 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -61 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -8 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -50 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 65
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Gulfview Heights was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 108 and account for 5.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 291 persons.

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