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City of SalisburyPopulation forecast

Salisbury Downs

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Salisbury Downs is 10-14 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Salisbury depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Limited identified residential development opportunities over the period mean that there is limited change to population through net migration, with fluctuating gains and losses over time owing to the limited numbers of people involved
  • Modest gain of families with children aged 0-14 years, declining in the longer term
  • A loss of young adults (18-24 years) in the longer term, many of whom are leaving the family home
  • Minor loss of retirees and other elderly persons (65-79 years).

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