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City of RydePopulation forecast

Meadowbank - Melrose Park

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Meadowbank - Melrose Park indicate a 39.9% increase in population under working age, a 72.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 34.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Meadowbank - Melrose Park is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Meadowbank - Melrose Park - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44417.15696.65676.1+126
5 to 92924.74114.74354.7+143
10 to 142063.33343.93683.9+162
15 to 192303.73644.23894.2+159
20 to 244166.76587.66296.8+213
25 to 2988114.11,14013.21,06411.4+183
30 to 341,00816.11,22514.11,17312.6+165
35 to 3967110.890210.49119.8+239
40 to 444046.56057.06487.0+244
45 to 493125.04485.25175.5+205
50 to 543145.03904.54655.0+151
55 to 592584.13444.04194.5+161
60 to 642634.23223.73774.1+114
65 to 691842.92663.13353.6+151
70 to 741572.52352.72953.2+139
75 to 79961.51742.02742.9+178
80 to 84550.91411.62262.4+171
85 and over570.91321.52212.4+164
Total persons6,244100.08,658100.09,313100.0+3,069
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Meadowbank - Melrose Park was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 16.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 259 and account for 13.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,225 persons.

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