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City of RydePopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Marsfield indicate a 3.8% increase in population under working age, a 14.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Marsfield is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Marsfield - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)8656.28305.78195.4-46
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)8386.09386.49326.1+93
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)5253.88025.57895.2+264
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,97314.21,81812.41,87812.3-96
Young workforce (25 to 34)2,66919.22,60417.72,61017.2-59
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)2,64219.02,86219.52,85618.8+214
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,42310.21,4299.71,52310.0+100
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)1,1978.61,2658.61,3108.6+113
Seniors (70 to 84)1,1868.51,51510.31,74711.5+561
Elderly aged (85 and over)5954.36294.37484.9+153
Total persons13,915100.014,694100.015,211100.0+1,296
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Marsfield was ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which accounted for 19.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 329 and account for 10.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 2,862 persons.

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