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City of RockinghamPopulation forecast

Golden Bay

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Golden Bay is forecast to grow from 2,220 in 2021 to 2,858 in 2046, with the average household size falling from 2.74 to 2.60 by 2046.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Rockingham. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Golden BayForecast year
Summary202120262031203620412046
Population5,9057,0967,5107,5347,4437,274
Change in population (5yrs)--1,19141424-91-169
Average annual change--3.74%1.14%0.06%-0.24%-0.46%
Households2,1562,5272,6832,7252,7642,786
Average household size2.742.812.792.762.692.60
Population in non private dwellings5814182021
Dwellings2,2202,6262,7782,8542,8562,858
Dwelling occupancy rate97.1296.2396.5895.4896.7897.48
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Golden Bay was estimated to be 5,905 people. It is expected to increase by over 1,605 people to 7,510 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 2.43%. This is based on an increase of over 527 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.74 to 2.79 by 2031.

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