Riverina CitiesPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Riverina Cities

Births and deaths

In 2016 Jerilderie and Urana Council areas is forecast to have the highest fertility rate of 3.74 (births per woman), this is expected to decrease to 3.29 in 2036.

The number of births in Riverina Cities are derived by multiplying age specific fertility rates of women aged 15-49 by the female population in these age groups for all years during the forecast period.

Birth rates are especially influential in determining the number of children in an area, with most inner urban areas having relatively low birth rates, compared to outer suburban or rural and regional areas. Birth rates have been changing, with a greater share of women bearing children at older ages or not at all, with overall increases in fertility rates. This can have a large impact on the future population profile.

Forecast fertility rates (births per woman)
Riverina CitiesYearChange between 2011 and 2036
Riverina Cities2.172.15-0.02
Albury City1.941.91-0.03
Balranald Council area3.002.79-0.21
Berrigan Shire2.592.46-0.12
Bland Shire2.782.74-0.05
Carrathool Council area2.762.50-0.26
Conargo Council area2.152.02-0.13
Coolamon Council area3.022.90-0.11
Cootamundra Council area2.392.28-0.10
Corowa Shire Council2.422.37-0.05
Deniliquin Council area2.742.58-0.17
Greater Hume Shire2.492.38-0.11
Griffith City2.402.36-0.04
Gundagai Council area2.512.38-0.13
Hay Council area2.322.25-0.07
Jerilderie and Urana Council areas4.213.29-0.92
Junee Council area1.421.56+0.13
Leeton Shire2.362.33-0.04
Lockhart Council area3.332.96-0.37
Murray Council area2.282.17-0.11
Murrumbidgee Council area2.592.41-0.18
Narrandera Council area2.972.85-0.12
Temora Council area2.662.56-0.09
Tumbarumba Council area1.801.87+0.07
Tumut Shire2.392.34-0.05
Wagga Wagga City2.012.05+0.04
Wakool Council area2.192.17-0.02
Wentworth Council area2.142.03-0.11

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2015.

Death rates

The forecast number of deaths in Riverina Cities is a reflection of death rates assumed for small areas. For historical years, this will equal the number of deaths published by the ABS, where this information was available at the time of forecasting. These rates are based on historical estimates for Riverina Cities, which have been extrapolated into the future, assuming an increase in expectation of life in all age groups (except 85 years and over).

Death rates are influential in shaping the numbers of older people in an area's population. Death rates too have been changing, with higher life expectancy at most ages, with men's life expectancy increasing more than that of women.