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Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional CouncilPopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Jerrabomberra indicate a 30.1% decrease in population under working age, a 87.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.4% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Jerrabomberra is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Jerrabomberra - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46576.65726.45406.3-117
5 to 98959.05766.45666.6-329
10 to 148838.95546.25146.0-369
15 to 198378.45936.64415.2-396
20 to 245695.75766.44255.0-144
25 to 293913.95325.94575.4+66
30 to 345785.84825.44885.7-90
35 to 396476.54815.45226.1-125
40 to 449029.15686.35396.3-363
45 to 491,04310.55996.75136.0-530
50 to 548828.97458.35336.2-349
55 to 595916.08099.05356.3-56
60 to 643984.06757.55987.0+200
65 to 692612.64495.06057.1+344
70 to 741711.73133.55136.0+342
75 to 791301.32172.43604.2+230
80 to 84510.51391.52382.8+187
85 and over340.3951.11551.8+121
Total persons9,920100.08,974100.08,542100.0-1,378
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Jerrabomberra was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 10.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 277 and account for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 809 persons.

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