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St Kilda

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in St Kilda will increase by an average of 153 dwellings per annum to 18,046 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in City of Port Phillip. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • 2 St Kilda Road - 108 dwellings (2016)
  • 7 Belford Street - 29 dwellings (2016)
  • 76 Barkly Street - 10 dwellings (2016)
  • Octavia Apartments - 33 dwellings (2016)
  • Stk Apartments - 328 dwellings (2017)
  • Canopy Apartments - 61 dwellings (2017)
  • Ascent - 82 dwellings (2017)
  • 55 Wellington Street - 14 dwellings (2017)
  • Ode Apartments - 41 dwellings (2017)
  • 341 Beaconsfield Parade - 15 dwellings (2017)
  • The Carlisle - 69 dwellings (2018)
  • The Marc - 43 dwellings (2018)
  • 25-29 Alma Road - 66 dwellings (2018)
  • 198-202A Barkly Street - 12 dwellings (2018)
  • Eva Apartments - 15 dwellings (2018)
  • 2-8 Carlisle Street and 3 Havelock Street - 11 dwellings (2018)
  • 74-82 Acland Street - 33 dwellings (2018)
  • Saint - 53 dwellings (2019)
  • 5-7 Spenser Street - 14 dwellings (2019)
  • 2-4 Mozart Street - 10 dwellings (2019)
  • 71 Grey Street - 27 dwellings (2019)
  • 79-81 Fitzroy Street - 44 dwellings (2019)
  • 25 - 31 Greeves Street and 14 Vale Street - 63 dwellings (2019)
  • 2 Inkerman Street - 16 dwellings (2019)
  • 194-198 St Kilda Road - 73 dwellings (2019-2020)
  • 181 Fitzroy Street, St Kilda - 177 dwellings (2020)
  • Ink - 24 dwellings (2020)
  • 35-37 Wellington Street - 14 dwellings (2020)
  • 70-76 St Kilda Road - 20 dwellings (2020)
  • Small sites - 30 dwellings
  • High level of in-centre development (25-75 dwellings per annum)
  • Low-high level of infill (0-30 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 18,046 2040 Total dwellings: 17,951 2039 Total dwellings: 17,856 2038 Total dwellings: 17,761 2037 Total dwellings: 17,666 2036 Total dwellings: 17,571 2035 Total dwellings: 17,476 2034 Total dwellings: 17,381 2033 Total dwellings: 17,286 2032 Total dwellings: 17,191 2031 Total dwellings: 17,096 2030 Total dwellings: 17,001 2029 Total dwellings: 16,906 2028 Total dwellings: 16,811 2027 Total dwellings: 16,716 2026 Total dwellings: 16,621 2025 Total dwellings: 16,526 2024 Total dwellings: 16,431 2023 Total dwellings: 16,193 2022 Total dwellings: 15,955 2021 Total dwellings: 15,820 2020 Total dwellings: 15,597 2019 Total dwellings: 15,279 2018 Total dwellings: 15,011 2017 Total dwellings: 14,762 2041 Total dwellings: 18,046 2040 Total dwellings: 17,951 2039 Total dwellings: 17,856 2038 Total dwellings: 17,761 2037 Total dwellings: 17,666 2036 Total dwellings: 17,571 2035 Total dwellings: 17,476 2034 Total dwellings: 17,381 2033 Total dwellings: 17,286 2032 Total dwellings: 17,191 2031 Total dwellings: 17,096 2030 Total dwellings: 17,001 2029 Total dwellings: 16,906 2028 Total dwellings: 16,811 2027 Total dwellings: 16,716 2026 Total dwellings: 16,621 2025 Total dwellings: 16,526 2024 Total dwellings: 16,431 2023 Total dwellings: 16,193 2022 Total dwellings: 15,955 2021 Total dwellings: 15,820 2020 Total dwellings: 15,597 2019 Total dwellings: 15,279 2018 Total dwellings: 15,011 2017 Total dwellings: 14,762 2041 Forecast development: 95 2040 Forecast development: 95 2039 Forecast development: 95 2038 Forecast development: 95 2037 Forecast development: 95 2036 Forecast development: 95 2035 Forecast development: 95 2034 Forecast development: 95 2033 Forecast development: 95 2032 Forecast development: 95 2031 Forecast development: 95 2030 Forecast development: 95 2029 Forecast development: 95 2028 Forecast development: 95 2027 Forecast development: 95 2026 Forecast development: 95 2025 Forecast development: 95 2024 Forecast development: 238 2023 Forecast development: 238 2022 Forecast development: 135 2021 Forecast development: 223 2020 Forecast development: 318 2019 Forecast development: 268 2018 Forecast development: 249 2017 Forecast development: 541
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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