City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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Elwood - Ripponlea

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Elwood - Ripponlea will increase by an average of 29 dwellings per annum to 9,281 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in City of Port Phillip. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • 126 Brighton Road - 15 dwellings (2016)
  • 170-174 Ormond Road - 41 dwellings (2016)
  • 356 Barkly Street - 22 dwellings (2016)
  • 144 Ormond Road - 31 dwellings (2017)
  • 29-31 Ormond Road - 17 dwellings (2017)
  • 79 Tennyson Street - 10 dwellings (2017)
  • 118 Brighton Road - 12 dwellings (2018)
  • 4 Alfriston Street - 14 dwellings (2018)
  • The Tennyson - 10 dwellings (2018)
  • 53-54 Marine Parade - 20 dwellings (2019)
  • 62 Marine Parade - 12 dwellings (2019)
  • 47 Dickens Street - 20 dwellings (2020)
  • Future potential development - 22 dwellings (2020)
  • Small sites - 41 dwellings
  • Low-high level of infill (10-45 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 9,281 2040 Total dwellings: 9,271 2039 Total dwellings: 9,261 2038 Total dwellings: 9,246 2037 Total dwellings: 9,231 2036 Total dwellings: 9,216 2035 Total dwellings: 9,196 2034 Total dwellings: 9,176 2033 Total dwellings: 9,156 2032 Total dwellings: 9,136 2031 Total dwellings: 9,111 2030 Total dwellings: 9,086 2029 Total dwellings: 9,061 2028 Total dwellings: 9,036 2027 Total dwellings: 9,011 2026 Total dwellings: 8,986 2025 Total dwellings: 8,961 2024 Total dwellings: 8,936 2023 Total dwellings: 8,911 2022 Total dwellings: 8,886 2021 Total dwellings: 8,861 2020 Total dwellings: 8,836 2019 Total dwellings: 8,769 2018 Total dwellings: 8,711 2017 Total dwellings: 8,633 2041 Total dwellings: 9,281 2040 Total dwellings: 9,271 2039 Total dwellings: 9,261 2038 Total dwellings: 9,246 2037 Total dwellings: 9,231 2036 Total dwellings: 9,216 2035 Total dwellings: 9,196 2034 Total dwellings: 9,176 2033 Total dwellings: 9,156 2032 Total dwellings: 9,136 2031 Total dwellings: 9,111 2030 Total dwellings: 9,086 2029 Total dwellings: 9,061 2028 Total dwellings: 9,036 2027 Total dwellings: 9,011 2026 Total dwellings: 8,986 2025 Total dwellings: 8,961 2024 Total dwellings: 8,936 2023 Total dwellings: 8,911 2022 Total dwellings: 8,886 2021 Total dwellings: 8,861 2020 Total dwellings: 8,836 2019 Total dwellings: 8,769 2018 Total dwellings: 8,711 2017 Total dwellings: 8,633 2041 Forecast development: 10 2040 Forecast development: 10 2039 Forecast development: 15 2038 Forecast development: 15 2037 Forecast development: 15 2036 Forecast development: 20 2035 Forecast development: 20 2034 Forecast development: 20 2033 Forecast development: 20 2032 Forecast development: 25 2031 Forecast development: 25 2030 Forecast development: 25 2029 Forecast development: 25 2028 Forecast development: 25 2027 Forecast development: 25 2026 Forecast development: 25 2025 Forecast development: 25 2024 Forecast development: 25 2023 Forecast development: 25 2022 Forecast development: 25 2021 Forecast development: 25 2020 Forecast development: 67 2019 Forecast development: 58 2018 Forecast development: 78 2017 Forecast development: 77
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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