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City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast

Middle Park - Albert Park

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2039, the age structure forecasts for Middle Park - Albert Park indicate a 18.9% decrease in population under working age, a 22.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

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Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Middle Park - Albert Park - Total persons202120392041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45444.84634.04664.1-78
5 to 96635.95434.75424.7-121
10 to 147486.65805.15805.1-168
15 to 195484.95214.65154.5-32
20 to 243843.45084.45074.4+123
25 to 294734.26305.56275.5+154
30 to 346195.57806.87776.8+158
35 to 397947.17726.77716.7-23
40 to 447446.67556.67566.6+12
45 to 498557.67977.07997.0-56
50 to 541,0199.17957.07936.9-226
55 to 598627.77826.87816.8-82
60 to 647306.57316.47276.4-2
65 to 696255.67536.67226.3+97
70 to 745755.16946.17066.2+132
75 to 794904.45845.15945.2+104
80 to 843393.04303.84403.9+101
85 and over2472.23202.83242.8+77
Total persons11,258100.011,438100.011,428100.0+170
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Middle Park - Albert Park was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2039 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 160 and account for 6.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2039 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 797 persons.

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