City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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St Kilda Road

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for St Kilda Road indicate a 87.0% increase in population under working age, a 46.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 40.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
St Kilda Road - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43332.85042.95242.8+191
5 to 91721.42901.73041.6+132
10 to 14710.62831.73041.6+233
15 to 193232.77214.27273.9+404
20 to 241,31511.01,96911.51,93910.5+624
25 to 292,28319.22,81616.52,74714.8+464
30 to 341,99316.72,27913.32,24912.1+256
35 to 391,22610.31,5188.91,5408.3+314
40 to 446975.81,2177.11,2676.8+570
45 to 495234.41,0696.21,1676.3+644
50 to 545604.78975.21,1106.0+550
55 to 595254.47864.61,0305.6+505
60 to 645184.37444.39345.0+416
65 to 694984.26013.57914.3+293
70 to 743072.64562.76273.4+320
75 to 791711.43902.35302.9+359
80 to 84950.82441.43431.9+248
85 and over3072.63241.93822.1+75
Total persons11,917100.017,109100.018,516100.0+6,599

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 382 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 343 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 530 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 627 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 791 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 934 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,030 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,110 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,167 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,267 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,540 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,249 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 2,747 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,939 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 727 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 304 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 304 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 524 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 324 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 244 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 390 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 456 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 601 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 744 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 786 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 897 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,069 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,217 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,518 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,279 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,816 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,969 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 721 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 283 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 290 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 504 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 307 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 95 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 171 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 307 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 498 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 518 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 525 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 560 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 523 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 697 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,226 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,993 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,283 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,315 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 323 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 71 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 172 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 333
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 59 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 98 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 139 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 171 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 190 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 190 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 245 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 213 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 98 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 51 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 22 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -29 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -69 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: -30 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 14 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 20 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 219 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 226 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 261 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 337 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 546 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 520 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 286 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 533 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 654 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 398 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 212 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 118 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 171
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in St Kilda Road was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 19.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 654 and account for 11.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 2,816 persons.

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