City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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Port Melbourne

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Port Melbourne indicate a 10.9% decrease in population under working age, a 30.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Port Melbourne - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0616.19465.39945.2-67
5 to 97064.16523.66713.5-35
10 to 146123.55212.95132.7-99
15 to 194922.85182.95162.7+24
20 to 247684.48834.98894.7+121
25 to 291,4698.51,5678.71,6368.6+167
30 to 341,95711.31,86710.41,95010.2-7
35 to 391,7029.81,7129.51,7829.3+80
40 to 441,5528.91,4548.11,4817.7-71
45 to 491,3677.91,2547.01,2906.8-77
50 to 541,1666.71,2737.11,2416.5+75
55 to 591,1546.61,1626.51,1676.1+13
60 to 649445.41,0295.71,0855.7+141
65 to 699175.39665.41,0145.3+97
70 to 746123.57724.39174.8+305
75 to 794352.57063.98144.3+379
80 to 842511.44432.56713.5+420
85 and over2051.22721.54752.5+270
Total persons17,370100.017,997100.019,105100.0+1,735

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 475 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 671 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 814 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 917 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,014 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,085 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,167 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,241 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,290 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,481 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,782 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,950 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,636 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 889 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 516 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 513 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 671 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 994 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 272 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 443 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 706 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 772 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 966 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,029 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,162 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,273 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,254 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,454 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,712 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,867 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,567 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 883 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 518 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 521 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 652 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 946 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 205 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 251 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 435 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 612 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 917 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 944 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,154 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,166 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,367 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,552 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,702 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,957 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,469 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 768 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 492 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 612 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 706 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,061
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 203 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 228 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 108 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 145 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 48 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 56 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: -32 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 36 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 27 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 70 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 83 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 69 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -8 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 19 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 48 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 192 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 271 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 160 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 49 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 85 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 107 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -113 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -98 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -90 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 98 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -91 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -54 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -115
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Port Melbourne was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 11.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 271 and account for 3.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,867 persons.

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