City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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Elwood - Ripponlea

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Elwood - Ripponlea indicate a 4.1% decrease in population under working age, a 30.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Elwood - Ripponlea - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49475.89625.69415.4-6
5 to 98595.37704.57324.2-127
10 to 146173.85913.55813.3-36
15 to 195063.16253.65763.3+70
20 to 249856.01,1056.51,0866.2+101
25 to 291,93411.92,00111.71,98711.4+53
30 to 342,23513.72,16912.72,14812.3-87
35 to 391,67510.31,83410.71,81210.4+137
40 to 441,4468.91,5088.81,4638.4+17
45 to 491,3138.01,1967.01,2397.1-74
50 to 549886.11,0436.11,0546.0+66
55 to 599275.79465.59205.3-7
60 to 646383.97434.37734.4+135
65 to 694722.96553.86683.8+196
70 to 743232.04152.45653.2+242
75 to 791891.22761.64092.3+220
80 to 841260.81651.02921.7+166
85 and over1400.91200.71951.1+55
Total persons16,320100.017,125100.017,441100.0+1,121

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 195 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 292 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 409 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 565 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 668 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 773 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 920 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,054 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,239 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,463 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,812 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,148 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,987 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,086 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 576 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 581 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 732 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 941 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 120 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 165 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 276 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 415 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 655 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 743 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 946 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,043 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,196 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,508 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,834 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,169 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,001 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,105 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 625 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 591 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 770 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 962 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 140 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 126 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 189 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 323 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 472 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 638 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 927 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 988 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,313 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,446 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,675 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,235 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,934 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 985 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 506 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 617 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 859 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 947
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 75 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 127 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 133 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 150 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 14 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 30 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -26 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 11 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 42 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -45 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -22 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -21 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -14 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: -20 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: -49 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -10 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -38 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -21 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 92 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 183 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 105 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -117 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 62 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 159 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -66 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 120 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -26 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -89 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 15
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Elwood - Ripponlea was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 13.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 183 and account for 3.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 2,169 persons.

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