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City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast

St Kilda Road

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for St Kilda Road indicate a 53.4% increase in females under working age, a 22.5% increase in females of retirement age, and a 30.8% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
St Kilda Road - Total females202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41553.82344.42414.2+86
5 to 9972.41282.41562.7+59
10 to 14401.0861.61142.0+74
15 to 19401.01282.41512.6+111
20 to 242877.14779.04517.9+164
25 to 2970217.387416.482214.3+120
30 to 3464916.078414.774913.0+100
35 to 3942810.65289.95319.2+103
40 to 442676.63636.83966.9+129
45 to 492275.63095.83686.4+141
50 to 541944.82484.73195.6+125
55 to 591884.62224.22885.0+100
60 to 641654.11843.52354.1+70
65 to 691373.41613.01963.4+59
70 to 741523.81492.81813.2+29
75 to 791032.51512.91642.9+61
80 to 84721.81332.51723.0+100
85 and over1483.71562.92083.6+60
Total persons4,051100.05,315100.05,743100.0+1,692
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in St Kilda Road was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 17.3% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 190 and account for 9.0% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 874 females.

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