City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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South Melbourne

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in South Melbourne is 'Young workforce (25 to 34)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Port Phillip is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
South Melbourne - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)5496.06806.08176.3+268
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)5506.05765.17295.6+179
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)4064.44253.85093.9+102
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)6216.89208.11,0247.9+402
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,64918.02,32220.52,60020.0+951
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)2,22024.22,61923.23,05523.4+835
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,19213.01,39112.31,53111.8+339
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)94710.31,0639.41,2129.3+265
Seniors (70 to 84)8068.88747.71,0798.3+272
Elderly aged (85 and over)2432.64403.94733.6+231
Total persons9,184100.011,310100.013,029100.0+3,844

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 473 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2041: 1,079 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2041: 1,212 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2041: 1,531 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2041: 3,055 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2041: 2,600 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2041: 1,024 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2041: 509 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2041: 729 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 817 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 440 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 874 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 1,063 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 1,391 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 2,619 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 2,322 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 920 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 425 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 576 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 680 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 243 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 806 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 947 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 1,192 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 2,220 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 1,649 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 621 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 406 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 550 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 549
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 33 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2041: 204 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2041: 148 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2041: 140 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2041: 436 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2041: 278 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2041: 103 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2041: 84 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2041: 153 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 137 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 197 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 68 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 117 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 199 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 399 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 673 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 299 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 131
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In South Melbourne between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 176 (11.7%), and will comprise 14.9% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 381 (19.1%) and comprise 21.0% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 2,619 persons.

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