City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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Elwood - Ripponlea

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Elwood - Ripponlea is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Port Phillip depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Consistent migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period
  • Large gain of young adults (18-29 years), attracted by rental market, lifestyle and proximity to employment and education opportunities
  • Loss of couples and established families (35-49 and 0-14 year olds), accessing suitable family style housing and affordable home-owning opportunities elsewhere
  • Loss of empty nesters and retirees
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -29 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -49 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -91 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -105 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -88 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -136 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -146 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -191 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -326 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -377 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -164 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 748 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 796 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 115 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -146 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -183 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -252 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -27 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -49 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -76 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -104 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -93 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -127 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -166 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -318 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -399 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -163 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 758 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 810 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 108 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -152 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -186 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -268 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 5 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -17 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -42 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -85 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -82 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -91 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -121 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -146 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -203 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -267 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -323 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -136 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 888 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 899 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 135 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -161 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -187 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -260 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -29 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -49 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -91 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -105 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -88 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -136 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -146 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -191 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -326 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -377 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -164 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 748 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 796 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 115 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -146 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -183 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -252 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -27 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -49 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -76 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -104 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -93 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -127 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -166 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -318 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -399 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -163 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 758 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 810 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 108 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -152 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -186 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -268 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 5 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -17 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -42 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -85 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -82 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -91 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -121 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -146 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -203 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -267 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -323 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -136 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 888 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 899 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 135 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -161 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -187 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -260
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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