City of Port PhillipPopulation forecast
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East St Kilda

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in East St Kilda is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Port Phillip depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Consistent migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period
  • Large gain of young adults (18-29 years), attracted by rental market, lifestyle and proximity to employment and education opportunities
  • Loss of young couples and families (30-49 and 0-14 year olds), accessing suitable family style housing and affordable home-owning opportunities elsewhere
  • Small loss of empty nesters
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 11 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 4 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -21 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -37 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -22 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -28 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -127 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -109 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -213 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -392 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -726 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -609 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 814 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 1,576 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 421 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -123 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -287 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -486 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 27 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -16 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -32 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -39 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -134 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -124 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -371 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -741 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -658 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 775 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,522 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 398 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -130 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -287 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -499 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 34 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 34 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 17 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -31 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -33 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -43 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -107 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -120 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -187 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -357 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -648 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -606 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 849 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,674 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 421 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -145 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -289 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -467 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 11 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 4 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -21 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -37 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -22 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -28 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -127 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -109 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -213 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -392 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -726 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -609 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 814 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 1,576 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 421 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -123 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -287 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -486 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 27 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -16 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -32 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -39 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -134 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -124 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -371 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -741 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -658 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 775 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,522 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 398 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -130 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -287 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -499 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 34 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 34 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 17 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -31 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -33 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -43 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -107 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -120 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -187 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -357 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -648 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -606 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 849 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,674 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 421 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -145 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -289 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -467
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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