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St Kilda

Components of population change

The greatest population change for St Kilda is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,931 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
St KildaForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,3931,4931,5211,5381,583
Deaths--571627661691721
Natural increase/decrease--822866860847862
Net migration--2,109409-105-60-63
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--02004000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 150 2040 forecast population change: 149 2039 forecast population change: 148 2038 forecast population change: 148 2037 forecast population change: 203 2036 forecast population change: 147 2035 forecast population change: 147 2034 forecast population change: 147 2033 forecast population change: 143 2032 forecast population change: 202 2031 forecast population change: 145 2030 forecast population change: 150 2029 forecast population change: 147 2028 forecast population change: 147 2027 forecast population change: 206 2026 forecast population change: 139 2025 forecast population change: 122 2024 forecast population change: 396 2023 forecast population change: 392 2022 forecast population change: 427 2021 forecast population change: 380 2020 forecast population change: 579 2019 forecast population change: 475 2018 forecast population change: 493 2017 forecast population change: 1,005
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 174 2040 Natural increase: 173 2039 Natural increase: 173 2038 Natural increase: 172 2037 Natural increase: 170 2036 Natural increase: 169 2035 Natural increase: 169 2034 Natural increase: 169 2033 Natural increase: 170 2032 Natural increase: 170 2031 Natural increase: 171 2030 Natural increase: 171 2029 Natural increase: 172 2028 Natural increase: 173 2027 Natural increase: 174 2026 Natural increase: 175 2025 Natural increase: 175 2024 Natural increase: 173 2023 Natural increase: 172 2022 Natural increase: 171 2021 Natural increase: 170 2020 Natural increase: 168 2019 Natural increase: 165 2018 Natural increase: 164 2017 Natural increase: 155 2041 Total deaths: 148 2040 Total deaths: 146 2039 Total deaths: 144 2038 Total deaths: 142 2037 Total deaths: 141 2036 Total deaths: 140 2035 Total deaths: 139 2034 Total deaths: 138 2033 Total deaths: 137 2032 Total deaths: 136 2031 Total deaths: 135 2030 Total deaths: 134 2029 Total deaths: 133 2028 Total deaths: 131 2027 Total deaths: 129 2026 Total deaths: 128 2025 Total deaths: 128 2024 Total deaths: 126 2023 Total deaths: 124 2022 Total deaths: 122 2021 Total deaths: 120 2020 Total deaths: 116 2019 Total deaths: 115 2018 Total deaths: 111 2017 Total deaths: 109 2041 Total births: 322 2040 Total births: 319 2039 Total births: 317 2038 Total births: 314 2037 Total births: 311 2036 Total births: 309 2035 Total births: 308 2034 Total births: 308 2033 Total births: 307 2032 Total births: 306 2031 Total births: 305 2030 Total births: 305 2029 Total births: 304 2028 Total births: 304 2027 Total births: 303 2026 Total births: 303 2025 Total births: 303 2024 Total births: 299 2023 Total births: 295 2022 Total births: 294 2021 Total births: 290 2020 Total births: 284 2019 Total births: 280 2018 Total births: 275 2017 Total births: 264 2041 Natural increase: 174 2040 Natural increase: 173 2039 Natural increase: 173 2038 Natural increase: 172 2037 Natural increase: 170 2036 Natural increase: 169 2035 Natural increase: 169 2034 Natural increase: 169 2033 Natural increase: 170 2032 Natural increase: 170 2031 Natural increase: 171 2030 Natural increase: 171 2029 Natural increase: 172 2028 Natural increase: 173 2027 Natural increase: 174 2026 Natural increase: 175 2025 Natural increase: 175 2024 Natural increase: 173 2023 Natural increase: 172 2022 Natural increase: 171 2021 Natural increase: 170 2020 Natural increase: 168 2019 Natural increase: 165 2018 Natural increase: 164 2017 Natural increase: 155 2041 Total deaths: 148 2040 Total deaths: 146 2039 Total deaths: 144 2038 Total deaths: 142 2037 Total deaths: 141 2036 Total deaths: 140 2035 Total deaths: 139 2034 Total deaths: 138 2033 Total deaths: 137 2032 Total deaths: 136 2031 Total deaths: 135 2030 Total deaths: 134 2029 Total deaths: 133 2028 Total deaths: 131 2027 Total deaths: 129 2026 Total deaths: 128 2025 Total deaths: 128 2024 Total deaths: 126 2023 Total deaths: 124 2022 Total deaths: 122 2021 Total deaths: 120 2020 Total deaths: 116 2019 Total deaths: 115 2018 Total deaths: 111 2017 Total deaths: 109 2041 Total births: 322 2040 Total births: 319 2039 Total births: 317 2038 Total births: 314 2037 Total births: 311 2036 Total births: 309 2035 Total births: 308 2034 Total births: 308 2033 Total births: 307 2032 Total births: 306 2031 Total births: 305 2030 Total births: 305 2029 Total births: 304 2028 Total births: 304 2027 Total births: 303 2026 Total births: 303 2025 Total births: 303 2024 Total births: 299 2023 Total births: 295 2022 Total births: 294 2021 Total births: 290 2020 Total births: 284 2019 Total births: 280 2018 Total births: 275 2017 Total births: 264
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -24 2040 Total net migration: -24 2039 Total net migration: -24 2038 Total net migration: -24 2037 Total net migration: 33 2036 Total net migration: -22 2035 Total net migration: -22 2034 Total net migration: -22 2033 Total net migration: -27 2032 Total net migration: 32 2031 Total net migration: -26 2030 Total net migration: -21 2029 Total net migration: -24 2028 Total net migration: -26 2027 Total net migration: -8 2026 Total net migration: -36 2025 Total net migration: -54 2024 Total net migration: 223 2023 Total net migration: 221 2022 Total net migration: 56 2021 Total net migration: 210 2020 Total net migration: 411 2019 Total net migration: 310 2018 Total net migration: 329 2017 Total net migration: 850 2041 Total out migration: 5,207 2040 Total out migration: 5,185 2039 Total out migration: 5,162 2038 Total out migration: 5,139 2037 Total out migration: 5,106 2036 Total out migration: 5,084 2035 Total out migration: 5,062 2034 Total out migration: 5,042 2033 Total out migration: 5,022 2032 Total out migration: 4,991 2031 Total out migration: 4,972 2030 Total out migration: 4,950 2029 Total out migration: 4,931 2028 Total out migration: 4,912 2027 Total out migration: 4,889 2026 Total out migration: 4,872 2025 Total out migration: 4,861 2024 Total out migration: 4,778 2023 Total out migration: 4,704 2022 Total out migration: 4,664 2021 Total out migration: 4,610 2020 Total out migration: 4,488 2019 Total out migration: 4,434 2018 Total out migration: 4,322 2017 Total out migration: 4,195 2041 Total in migration: 5,184 2040 Total in migration: 5,161 2039 Total in migration: 5,137 2038 Total in migration: 5,115 2037 Total in migration: 5,139 2036 Total in migration: 5,062 2035 Total in migration: 5,041 2034 Total in migration: 5,020 2033 Total in migration: 4,996 2032 Total in migration: 5,023 2031 Total in migration: 4,946 2030 Total in migration: 4,929 2029 Total in migration: 4,907 2028 Total in migration: 4,886 2027 Total in migration: 4,881 2026 Total in migration: 4,836 2025 Total in migration: 4,808 2024 Total in migration: 5,001 2023 Total in migration: 4,924 2022 Total in migration: 4,720 2021 Total in migration: 4,819 2020 Total in migration: 4,899 2019 Total in migration: 4,744 2018 Total in migration: 4,651 2017 Total in migration: 5,045 2041 Total net migration: -24 2040 Total net migration: -24 2039 Total net migration: -24 2038 Total net migration: -24 2037 Total net migration: 33 2036 Total net migration: -22 2035 Total net migration: -22 2034 Total net migration: -22 2033 Total net migration: -27 2032 Total net migration: 32 2031 Total net migration: -26 2030 Total net migration: -21 2029 Total net migration: -24 2028 Total net migration: -26 2027 Total net migration: -8 2026 Total net migration: -36 2025 Total net migration: -54 2024 Total net migration: 223 2023 Total net migration: 221 2022 Total net migration: 56 2021 Total net migration: 210 2020 Total net migration: 411 2019 Total net migration: 310 2018 Total net migration: 329 2017 Total net migration: 850 2041 Total out migration: 5,207 2040 Total out migration: 5,185 2039 Total out migration: 5,162 2038 Total out migration: 5,139 2037 Total out migration: 5,106 2036 Total out migration: 5,084 2035 Total out migration: 5,062 2034 Total out migration: 5,042 2033 Total out migration: 5,022 2032 Total out migration: 4,991 2031 Total out migration: 4,972 2030 Total out migration: 4,950 2029 Total out migration: 4,931 2028 Total out migration: 4,912 2027 Total out migration: 4,889 2026 Total out migration: 4,872 2025 Total out migration: 4,861 2024 Total out migration: 4,778 2023 Total out migration: 4,704 2022 Total out migration: 4,664 2021 Total out migration: 4,610 2020 Total out migration: 4,488 2019 Total out migration: 4,434 2018 Total out migration: 4,322 2017 Total out migration: 4,195 2041 Total in migration: 5,184 2040 Total in migration: 5,161 2039 Total in migration: 5,137 2038 Total in migration: 5,115 2037 Total in migration: 5,139 2036 Total in migration: 5,062 2035 Total in migration: 5,041 2034 Total in migration: 5,020 2033 Total in migration: 4,996 2032 Total in migration: 5,023 2031 Total in migration: 4,946 2030 Total in migration: 4,929 2029 Total in migration: 4,907 2028 Total in migration: 4,886 2027 Total in migration: 4,881 2026 Total in migration: 4,836 2025 Total in migration: 4,808 2024 Total in migration: 5,001 2023 Total in migration: 4,924 2022 Total in migration: 4,720 2021 Total in migration: 4,819 2020 Total in migration: 4,899 2019 Total in migration: 4,744 2018 Total in migration: 4,651 2017 Total in migration: 5,045
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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