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South Melbourne

Components of population change

The greatest population change for South Melbourne is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,703 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
South MelbourneForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--7458869209551,012
Deaths--350326310312324
Natural increase/decrease--395561610644687
Net migration--1,144-210-137-39-46
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--16472000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 114 2040 forecast population change: 114 2039 forecast population change: 126 2038 forecast population change: 126 2037 forecast population change: 161 2036 forecast population change: 118 2035 forecast population change: 115 2034 forecast population change: 112 2033 forecast population change: 115 2032 forecast population change: 143 2031 forecast population change: 95 2030 forecast population change: 93 2029 forecast population change: 100 2028 forecast population change: 92 2027 forecast population change: 93 2026 forecast population change: 81 2025 forecast population change: 52 2024 forecast population change: 65 2023 forecast population change: 72 2022 forecast population change: 152 2021 forecast population change: 180 2020 forecast population change: 172 2019 forecast population change: 818 2018 forecast population change: 182 2017 forecast population change: 351
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 142 2040 Natural increase: 140 2039 Natural increase: 138 2038 Natural increase: 135 2037 Natural increase: 132 2036 Natural increase: 131 2035 Natural increase: 130 2034 Natural increase: 129 2033 Natural increase: 128 2032 Natural increase: 126 2031 Natural increase: 125 2030 Natural increase: 124 2029 Natural increase: 122 2028 Natural increase: 121 2027 Natural increase: 119 2026 Natural increase: 117 2025 Natural increase: 115 2024 Natural increase: 113 2023 Natural increase: 110 2022 Natural increase: 106 2021 Natural increase: 100 2020 Natural increase: 93 2019 Natural increase: 77 2018 Natural increase: 69 2017 Natural increase: 57 2041 Total deaths: 66 2040 Total deaths: 66 2039 Total deaths: 65 2038 Total deaths: 64 2037 Total deaths: 63 2036 Total deaths: 63 2035 Total deaths: 63 2034 Total deaths: 62 2033 Total deaths: 62 2032 Total deaths: 62 2031 Total deaths: 62 2030 Total deaths: 62 2029 Total deaths: 62 2028 Total deaths: 62 2027 Total deaths: 62 2026 Total deaths: 63 2025 Total deaths: 64 2024 Total deaths: 65 2023 Total deaths: 66 2022 Total deaths: 67 2021 Total deaths: 69 2020 Total deaths: 70 2019 Total deaths: 70 2018 Total deaths: 70 2017 Total deaths: 72 2041 Total births: 208 2040 Total births: 206 2039 Total births: 202 2038 Total births: 199 2037 Total births: 196 2036 Total births: 194 2035 Total births: 192 2034 Total births: 191 2033 Total births: 190 2032 Total births: 188 2031 Total births: 187 2030 Total births: 185 2029 Total births: 184 2028 Total births: 183 2027 Total births: 181 2026 Total births: 180 2025 Total births: 179 2024 Total births: 178 2023 Total births: 176 2022 Total births: 173 2021 Total births: 168 2020 Total births: 163 2019 Total births: 146 2018 Total births: 139 2017 Total births: 128 2041 Natural increase: 142 2040 Natural increase: 140 2039 Natural increase: 138 2038 Natural increase: 135 2037 Natural increase: 132 2036 Natural increase: 131 2035 Natural increase: 130 2034 Natural increase: 129 2033 Natural increase: 128 2032 Natural increase: 126 2031 Natural increase: 125 2030 Natural increase: 124 2029 Natural increase: 122 2028 Natural increase: 121 2027 Natural increase: 119 2026 Natural increase: 117 2025 Natural increase: 115 2024 Natural increase: 113 2023 Natural increase: 110 2022 Natural increase: 106 2021 Natural increase: 100 2020 Natural increase: 93 2019 Natural increase: 77 2018 Natural increase: 69 2017 Natural increase: 57 2041 Total deaths: 66 2040 Total deaths: 66 2039 Total deaths: 65 2038 Total deaths: 64 2037 Total deaths: 63 2036 Total deaths: 63 2035 Total deaths: 63 2034 Total deaths: 62 2033 Total deaths: 62 2032 Total deaths: 62 2031 Total deaths: 62 2030 Total deaths: 62 2029 Total deaths: 62 2028 Total deaths: 62 2027 Total deaths: 62 2026 Total deaths: 63 2025 Total deaths: 64 2024 Total deaths: 65 2023 Total deaths: 66 2022 Total deaths: 67 2021 Total deaths: 69 2020 Total deaths: 70 2019 Total deaths: 70 2018 Total deaths: 70 2017 Total deaths: 72 2041 Total births: 208 2040 Total births: 206 2039 Total births: 202 2038 Total births: 199 2037 Total births: 196 2036 Total births: 194 2035 Total births: 192 2034 Total births: 191 2033 Total births: 190 2032 Total births: 188 2031 Total births: 187 2030 Total births: 185 2029 Total births: 184 2028 Total births: 183 2027 Total births: 181 2026 Total births: 180 2025 Total births: 179 2024 Total births: 178 2023 Total births: 176 2022 Total births: 173 2021 Total births: 168 2020 Total births: 163 2019 Total births: 146 2018 Total births: 139 2017 Total births: 128
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -28 2040 Total net migration: -26 2039 Total net migration: -12 2038 Total net migration: -9 2037 Total net migration: 29 2036 Total net migration: -12 2035 Total net migration: -14 2034 Total net migration: -17 2033 Total net migration: -13 2032 Total net migration: 17 2031 Total net migration: -30 2030 Total net migration: -30 2029 Total net migration: -22 2028 Total net migration: -29 2027 Total net migration: -26 2026 Total net migration: -36 2025 Total net migration: -63 2024 Total net migration: -48 2023 Total net migration: -38 2022 Total net migration: -26 2021 Total net migration: 80 2020 Total net migration: 80 2019 Total net migration: 577 2018 Total net migration: 113 2017 Total net migration: 295 2041 Total out migration: 1,797 2040 Total out migration: 1,781 2039 Total out migration: 1,764 2038 Total out migration: 1,746 2037 Total out migration: 1,722 2036 Total out migration: 1,706 2035 Total out migration: 1,692 2034 Total out migration: 1,678 2033 Total out migration: 1,663 2032 Total out migration: 1,660 2031 Total out migration: 1,648 2030 Total out migration: 1,635 2029 Total out migration: 1,621 2028 Total out migration: 1,608 2027 Total out migration: 1,597 2026 Total out migration: 1,590 2025 Total out migration: 1,584 2024 Total out migration: 1,575 2023 Total out migration: 1,566 2022 Total out migration: 1,558 2021 Total out migration: 1,529 2020 Total out migration: 1,499 2019 Total out migration: 1,382 2018 Total out migration: 1,351 2017 Total out migration: 1,278 2041 Total in migration: 1,769 2040 Total in migration: 1,755 2039 Total in migration: 1,752 2038 Total in migration: 1,737 2037 Total in migration: 1,751 2036 Total in migration: 1,694 2035 Total in migration: 1,677 2034 Total in migration: 1,661 2033 Total in migration: 1,650 2032 Total in migration: 1,677 2031 Total in migration: 1,617 2030 Total in migration: 1,604 2029 Total in migration: 1,599 2028 Total in migration: 1,580 2027 Total in migration: 1,571 2026 Total in migration: 1,554 2025 Total in migration: 1,521 2024 Total in migration: 1,527 2023 Total in migration: 1,528 2022 Total in migration: 1,532 2021 Total in migration: 1,609 2020 Total in migration: 1,579 2019 Total in migration: 1,958 2018 Total in migration: 1,464 2017 Total in migration: 1,573 2041 Total net migration: -28 2040 Total net migration: -26 2039 Total net migration: -12 2038 Total net migration: -9 2037 Total net migration: 29 2036 Total net migration: -12 2035 Total net migration: -14 2034 Total net migration: -17 2033 Total net migration: -13 2032 Total net migration: 17 2031 Total net migration: -30 2030 Total net migration: -30 2029 Total net migration: -22 2028 Total net migration: -29 2027 Total net migration: -26 2026 Total net migration: -36 2025 Total net migration: -63 2024 Total net migration: -48 2023 Total net migration: -38 2022 Total net migration: -26 2021 Total net migration: 80 2020 Total net migration: 80 2019 Total net migration: 577 2018 Total net migration: 113 2017 Total net migration: 295 2041 Total out migration: 1,797 2040 Total out migration: 1,781 2039 Total out migration: 1,764 2038 Total out migration: 1,746 2037 Total out migration: 1,722 2036 Total out migration: 1,706 2035 Total out migration: 1,692 2034 Total out migration: 1,678 2033 Total out migration: 1,663 2032 Total out migration: 1,660 2031 Total out migration: 1,648 2030 Total out migration: 1,635 2029 Total out migration: 1,621 2028 Total out migration: 1,608 2027 Total out migration: 1,597 2026 Total out migration: 1,590 2025 Total out migration: 1,584 2024 Total out migration: 1,575 2023 Total out migration: 1,566 2022 Total out migration: 1,558 2021 Total out migration: 1,529 2020 Total out migration: 1,499 2019 Total out migration: 1,382 2018 Total out migration: 1,351 2017 Total out migration: 1,278 2041 Total in migration: 1,769 2040 Total in migration: 1,755 2039 Total in migration: 1,752 2038 Total in migration: 1,737 2037 Total in migration: 1,751 2036 Total in migration: 1,694 2035 Total in migration: 1,677 2034 Total in migration: 1,661 2033 Total in migration: 1,650 2032 Total in migration: 1,677 2031 Total in migration: 1,617 2030 Total in migration: 1,604 2029 Total in migration: 1,599 2028 Total in migration: 1,580 2027 Total in migration: 1,571 2026 Total in migration: 1,554 2025 Total in migration: 1,521 2024 Total in migration: 1,527 2023 Total in migration: 1,528 2022 Total in migration: 1,532 2021 Total in migration: 1,609 2020 Total in migration: 1,579 2019 Total in migration: 1,958 2018 Total in migration: 1,464 2017 Total in migration: 1,573
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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