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Port Macquarie-Hastings CouncilPopulation forecast

Port Macquarie-Hastings Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Port Macquarie-Hastings Council indicate a 17.8% increase in population under working age, a 24.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Port Macquarie-Hastings Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Port Macquarie-Hastings Council - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,1415.25,0955.46,0715.4+1,930
5 to 94,8166.05,5225.96,6245.9+1,808
10 to 144,8246.05,6115.96,7816.0+1,957
15 to 194,5715.75,0495.46,0925.4+1,521
20 to 243,3604.24,0994.35,0274.5+1,667
25 to 293,5524.44,3064.65,0804.5+1,527
30 to 343,5604.44,5794.95,4884.9+1,928
35 to 393,7324.74,8885.25,8605.2+2,128
40 to 444,6165.85,1535.56,3015.6+1,685
45 to 494,9506.25,2525.66,5205.8+1,570
50 to 545,2856.65,6636.06,6695.9+1,384
55 to 595,6707.15,9246.36,8086.1+1,138
60 to 645,5416.96,3646.77,0746.3+1,532
65 to 696,1307.76,8147.27,5876.7+1,456
70 to 745,4436.86,2806.77,4406.6+1,997
75 to 794,0025.05,7136.16,7586.0+2,756
80 to 842,8943.64,3174.65,5174.9+2,623
85 and over2,9873.73,6803.94,7884.3+1,802
Total persons80,073100.094,310100.0112,484100.0+32,411
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Port Macquarie-Hastings Council was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 1,711 and account for 6.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 6,814 persons.

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