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City of PlayfordPopulation forecast

Virginia (Balance) - Rural West

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Virginia (Balance) - Rural West indicate a 53.6% increase in population under working age, a 57.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 31.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Virginia (Balance) - Rural West is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Virginia (Balance) - Rural West - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42405.63826.35046.1+264
5 to 92215.23545.94936.0+272
10 to 142415.73425.75146.3+272
15 to 192195.13305.54815.9+261
20 to 242515.93025.04235.1+172
25 to 291473.42664.43684.5+221
30 to 342074.82714.53664.5+159
35 to 392385.62914.84175.1+179
40 to 442676.23455.74665.7+200
45 to 492726.43856.44936.0+221
50 to 542816.63996.65236.4+242
55 to 593478.13816.35156.3+168
60 to 643187.43816.35256.4+207
65 to 692987.04347.25296.4+232
70 to 742686.34056.75106.2+243
75 to 792415.63305.54675.7+226
80 to 841483.52494.13754.6+227
85 and over651.51863.12463.0+181
Total persons4,269100.06,033100.08,215100.0+3,946
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Virginia (Balance) - Rural West was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 141 and account for 6.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 434 persons.

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