City of PlayfordPopulation forecast
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Elizabeth North and Elizabeth Downs

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Elizabeth North and Elizabeth Downs indicate a 3.2% increase in population under working age, a 3.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Playford is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Elizabeth North and Elizabeth Downs - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 7208.47278.17127.9-8
5 to 9 6888.06677.46587.3-30
10 to 14 5566.56337.06216.9+65
15 to 19 5576.57017.86787.5+121
20 to 24 6707.87378.27508.3+80
25 to 29 7118.36977.77187.9+7
30 to 34 6397.45846.55816.4-58
35 to 39 4465.25245.84985.5+52
40 to 44 4795.65055.64745.2-5
45 to 49 5256.14404.94625.1-63
50 to 54 5146.05095.74995.5-15
55 to 59 4895.75496.14845.4-5
60 to 64 3954.64585.14545.0+59
65 to 69 3353.93924.44334.8+98
70 to 74 3043.53143.53634.0+59
75 to 79 2092.42572.93073.4+98
80 to 84 2272.61882.12102.3-17
85 and over1501.71201.31341.5-16
Total persons8,614100.09,002100.09,034100.0+420

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 134 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 210 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 307 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 363 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 433 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 454 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 484 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 499 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 462 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 474 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 498 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 581 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 718 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 750 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 678 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 621 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 658 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 712 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 120 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 188 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 257 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 314 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 392 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 458 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 549 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 509 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 440 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 505 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 524 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 584 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 697 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 737 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 701 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 633 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 667 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 727 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 150 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 227 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 209 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 304 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 335 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 395 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 489 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 514 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 525 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 479 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 446 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 639 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 711 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 670 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 557 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 556 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 688 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 720
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 50 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 49 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -5 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -65 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -10 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -31 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -26 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -24 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -12 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -9 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -14 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -30 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -39 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -85 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -55 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 144 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -21 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 7
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Elizabeth North and Elizabeth Downs was ages 0 to 4 , which accounted for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19 , which is expected to increase by 144 and account for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 737 persons.

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