City of PerthPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Perth

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Perth is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Perth depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • The migration profile for the City of Perth is heavily influenced by the movement of young adults and couples, many of whom are seeking accommodation close to education, employment and lifestyle opportunities. As they reach their thirties and start their own family, they tend to move to the suburbs where more suitable family housing is available
  • Contrary to media driven myths, the in-migration of empty nesters is not significant, but modest gains of 45-59 year olds are assumed to occur across the City in line with established trends
  • There is minimal population change through migration at age 60 years and over.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 335 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 23 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 69 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 14 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -1 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 35 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -26 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -536 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -1,402 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -1,309 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 1,023 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 3,014 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 1,798 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 108 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -343 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -1,216 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 317 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 45 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 67 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 8 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 16 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 44 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 81 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 89 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 110 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -350 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -1,161 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -997 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,325 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,165 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,864 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 137 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -283 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -1,056 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 241 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 60 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -8 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -7 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 68 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 131 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 157 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -138 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -875 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -858 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,278 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 3,092 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,771 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -194 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -804 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 335 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 23 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 69 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 14 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -1 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 35 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -26 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -536 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -1,402 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -1,309 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 1,023 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 3,014 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 1,798 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 108 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -343 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -1,216 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 317 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 45 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 67 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 8 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 16 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 44 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 81 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 89 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 110 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -350 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -1,161 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -997 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,325 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,165 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,864 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 137 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -283 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -1,056 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 241 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 60 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -8 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -7 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 68 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 131 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 157 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -138 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -875 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -858 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,278 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 3,092 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,771 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -194 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -804
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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